Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly dry, variable-cloud day across London on June 15 with sunny intervals and light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C. High pressure building from the south is allowing modest warming above seasonal norms (climatological June high ~20–21 °C), yet lingering Atlantic moisture and limited insolation keep the probability of exceeding 24 °C modest. Ensemble spread centers on 22–23 °C, explaining the market’s tight clustering between those two outcomes while the modest 20.6 % on 24 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations from Heathrow and St James’s Park will determine settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
23°C 38%
22°C 29%
24°C or higher 20.7%
21°C 15%
NUEVO
$26,405 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,405 Vol.
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
29%
23°C
38%
24°C or higher
21%
23°C 38%
22°C 29%
24°C or higher 20.7%
21°C 15%
NUEVO
$26,405 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,405 Vol.
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
$473 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,855 Vol.
2%
21°C
$4,707 Vol.
15%
22°C
$3,198 Vol.
29%
23°C
$3,244 Vol.
38%
24°C or higher
$5,532 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly dry, variable-cloud day across London on June 15 with sunny intervals and light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C. High pressure building from the south is allowing modest warming above seasonal norms (climatological June high ~20–21 °C), yet lingering Atlantic moisture and limited insolation keep the probability of exceeding 24 °C modest. Ensemble spread centers on 22–23 °C, explaining the market’s tight clustering between those two outcomes while the modest 20.6 % on 24 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations from Heathrow and St James’s Park will determine settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$26,405Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly dry, variable-cloud day across London on June 15 with sunny intervals and light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C. High pressure building from the south is allowing modest warming above seasonal norms (climatological June high ~20–21 °C), yet lingering Atlantic moisture and limited insolation keep the probability of exceeding 24 °C modest. Ensemble spread centers on 22–23 °C, explaining the market’s tight clustering between those two outcomes while the modest 20.6 % on 24 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations from Heathrow and St James’s Park will determine settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,405Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly dry, variable-cloud day across London on June 15 with sunny intervals and light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–24 °C. High pressure building from the south is allowing modest warming above seasonal norms (climatological June high ~20–21 °C), yet lingering Atlantic moisture and limited insolation keep the probability of exceeding 24 °C modest. Ensemble spread centers on 22–23 °C, explaining the market’s tight clustering between those two outcomes while the modest 20.6 % on 24 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations from Heathrow and St James’s Park will determine settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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