Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta are suppressing solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Mid-June climatological averages hover near 31°C, yet current East Asian monsoon patterns and official agency guidance point to maxima limited by reduced insolation and scattered precipitation through June 17. Ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on precise station measurements of the daily high. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 17?
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
32°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
16%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
4%
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
32°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
23°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
2%
27°C
$9 Vol.
4%
28°C
$16 Vol.
14%
29°C
$8 Vol.
16%
30°C
$53 Vol.
26%
31°C
$50 Vol.
22%
32°C
$82 Vol.
16%
33°C or higher
$141 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta are suppressing solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Mid-June climatological averages hover near 31°C, yet current East Asian monsoon patterns and official agency guidance point to maxima limited by reduced insolation and scattered precipitation through June 17. Ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on precise station measurements of the daily high. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$571Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta are suppressing solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Mid-June climatological averages hover near 31°C, yet current East Asian monsoon patterns and official agency guidance point to maxima limited by reduced insolation and scattered precipitation through June 17. Ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on precise station measurements of the daily high. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$571Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Pearl River Delta are suppressing solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 29–31°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Mid-June climatological averages hover near 31°C, yet current East Asian monsoon patterns and official agency guidance point to maxima limited by reduced insolation and scattered precipitation through June 17. Ensemble forecasts from global models show modest spread around these values, with resolution depending on precise station measurements of the daily high. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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