Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 16 maximum in Seoul near 28–29 °C under the strengthening North Pacific high, which favors subsidence, limited cloud cover, and daytime warming while modest afternoon humidity or scattered showers can cap outliers. Mid-June climatology supports this narrow band, with typical highs of 26–29 °C and only occasional excursions above 30 °C when clear skies align with peak insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 28 °C and 29 °C because global and regional model spreads remain small this close to the event, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Updated KMA runs and observational data through June 15 will provide the final constraints before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
28°C 31%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 15%
NUEVO
$12,023 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,023 Vol.
16 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
31%
29°C
27%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 31%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 15%
NUEVO
$12,023 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,023 Vol.
16 jun 2026
22°C or below
$319 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$869 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,866 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,016 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,192 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,161 Vol.
19%
28°C
$898 Vol.
31%
29°C
$1,237 Vol.
27%
30°C
$1,570 Vol.
15%
31°C
$499 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$1,409 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 16 maximum in Seoul near 28–29 °C under the strengthening North Pacific high, which favors subsidence, limited cloud cover, and daytime warming while modest afternoon humidity or scattered showers can cap outliers. Mid-June climatology supports this narrow band, with typical highs of 26–29 °C and only occasional excursions above 30 °C when clear skies align with peak insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 28 °C and 29 °C because global and regional model spreads remain small this close to the event, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Updated KMA runs and observational data through June 15 will provide the final constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$12,023Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 16 maximum in Seoul near 28–29 °C under the strengthening North Pacific high, which favors subsidence, limited cloud cover, and daytime warming while modest afternoon humidity or scattered showers can cap outliers. Mid-June climatology supports this narrow band, with typical highs of 26–29 °C and only occasional excursions above 30 °C when clear skies align with peak insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 28 °C and 29 °C because global and regional model spreads remain small this close to the event, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Updated KMA runs and observational data through June 15 will provide the final constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,023Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 16 maximum in Seoul near 28–29 °C under the strengthening North Pacific high, which favors subsidence, limited cloud cover, and daytime warming while modest afternoon humidity or scattered showers can cap outliers. Mid-June climatology supports this narrow band, with typical highs of 26–29 °C and only occasional excursions above 30 °C when clear skies align with peak insolation. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 28 °C and 29 °C because global and regional model spreads remain small this close to the event, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Updated KMA runs and observational data through June 15 will provide the final constraints before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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