Recent ensemble forecasts from European models like ECMWF show peak temperatures in Milan on June 17 likely reaching 32–33°C under a stable high-pressure ridge, with light southerly flow advecting warmer air from the Mediterranean. Trader consensus clusters there because model runs agree on mostly clear skies and modest diurnal heating, while small spreads arise from uncertainties in exact timing of any thin cloud layers or urban heat-island amplification that can add 1°C locally. Historical June maxima near 28–30°C provide context, but current positive temperature anomalies of 3–4°C above average support the market-implied odds without signaling extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 17?
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 16%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
38%
33°C
29%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 16%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
29°C or below
$136 Vol.
1%
30°C
$141 Vol.
2%
31°C
$94 Vol.
16%
32°C
$145 Vol.
38%
33°C
$289 Vol.
29%
34°C
$82 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C
$28 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models like ECMWF show peak temperatures in Milan on June 17 likely reaching 32–33°C under a stable high-pressure ridge, with light southerly flow advecting warmer air from the Mediterranean. Trader consensus clusters there because model runs agree on mostly clear skies and modest diurnal heating, while small spreads arise from uncertainties in exact timing of any thin cloud layers or urban heat-island amplification that can add 1°C locally. Historical June maxima near 28–30°C provide context, but current positive temperature anomalies of 3–4°C above average support the market-implied odds without signaling extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$928Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models like ECMWF show peak temperatures in Milan on June 17 likely reaching 32–33°C under a stable high-pressure ridge, with light southerly flow advecting warmer air from the Mediterranean. Trader consensus clusters there because model runs agree on mostly clear skies and modest diurnal heating, while small spreads arise from uncertainties in exact timing of any thin cloud layers or urban heat-island amplification that can add 1°C locally. Historical June maxima near 28–30°C provide context, but current positive temperature anomalies of 3–4°C above average support the market-implied odds without signaling extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$928Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models like ECMWF show peak temperatures in Milan on June 17 likely reaching 32–33°C under a stable high-pressure ridge, with light southerly flow advecting warmer air from the Mediterranean. Trader consensus clusters there because model runs agree on mostly clear skies and modest diurnal heating, while small spreads arise from uncertainties in exact timing of any thin cloud layers or urban heat-island amplification that can add 1°C locally. Historical June maxima near 28–30°C provide context, but current positive temperature anomalies of 3–4°C above average support the market-implied odds without signaling extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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