Recent MetService and numerical weather prediction model runs position 16–17°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, reflecting a transient northwesterly flow that has maintained above-average warmth ahead of an expected southwesterly shift and persistent rain. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures overall, yet short-term guidance shows afternoon peaks potentially reaching the upper end of the 13–16°C climatological range for the capital. The market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5%) and 16°C (40.5%) captures trader consensus on model agreement for these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 52%
16°C 40%
18°C 8%
15°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$15,136 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,136 Vol.
15 jun 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
40%
17°C
52%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 52%
16°C 40%
18°C 8%
15°C 2.6%
NUEVO
$15,136 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,136 Vol.
15 jun 2026
11°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,529 Vol.
3%
16°C
$1,047 Vol.
40%
17°C
$2,516 Vol.
52%
18°C
$1,522 Vol.
8%
19°C
$875 Vol.
1%
20°C
$716 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$357 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and numerical weather prediction model runs position 16–17°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, reflecting a transient northwesterly flow that has maintained above-average warmth ahead of an expected southwesterly shift and persistent rain. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures overall, yet short-term guidance shows afternoon peaks potentially reaching the upper end of the 13–16°C climatological range for the capital. The market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5%) and 16°C (40.5%) captures trader consensus on model agreement for these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$15,136Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and numerical weather prediction model runs position 16–17°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, reflecting a transient northwesterly flow that has maintained above-average warmth ahead of an expected southwesterly shift and persistent rain. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures overall, yet short-term guidance shows afternoon peaks potentially reaching the upper end of the 13–16°C climatological range for the capital. The market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5%) and 16°C (40.5%) captures trader consensus on model agreement for these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,136Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and numerical weather prediction model runs position 16–17°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, reflecting a transient northwesterly flow that has maintained above-average warmth ahead of an expected southwesterly shift and persistent rain. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures overall, yet short-term guidance shows afternoon peaks potentially reaching the upper end of the 13–16°C climatological range for the capital. The market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C (51.5%) and 16°C (40.5%) captures trader consensus on model agreement for these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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