Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of around 30°C for Beijing on June 15 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of light showers or thundershowers, aligning with trader emphasis on the 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening solar insolation and southerly flow ahead of the East Asian monsoon, typically supporting highs near 30–32°C, though increased cloud cover and precipitation can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any stronger convective activity or earlier frontal passage the main variables that could shift the daily maximum toward 28°C or 31°C. Updated guidance ahead of the June 15 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 36%
30°C 35%
28°C 19%
27°C 7.5%
$34,984 Vol.
$34,984 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
35%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 35%
28°C 19%
27°C 7.5%
$34,984 Vol.
$34,984 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
35%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of around 30°C for Beijing on June 15 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of light showers or thundershowers, aligning with trader emphasis on the 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening solar insolation and southerly flow ahead of the East Asian monsoon, typically supporting highs near 30–32°C, though increased cloud cover and precipitation can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any stronger convective activity or earlier frontal passage the main variables that could shift the daily maximum toward 28°C or 31°C. Updated guidance ahead of the June 15 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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