Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a maximum of 20°C under cloudy skies with 70-80% rain probability during morning hours, reflecting early Tsuyu season suppression of daytime warming. Traders' tight clustering at 21°C and 22°C (combined 85% implied probability) incorporates ensemble model spread and historical variance around the 26°C seasonal normal, while discounting higher outcomes absent clearer subtropical ridge influence. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
21°C 44%
22°C 42%
23°C 15%
24°C 2.1%
NUEVO
$49,831 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,831 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
44%
22°C
42%
23°C
15%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 44%
22°C 42%
23°C 15%
24°C 2.1%
NUEVO
$49,831 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,831 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,919 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,761 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$18,501 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,946 Vol.
44%
22°C
$1,760 Vol.
42%
23°C
$1,465 Vol.
15%
24°C
$2,864 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,350 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,437 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$5,402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a maximum of 20°C under cloudy skies with 70-80% rain probability during morning hours, reflecting early Tsuyu season suppression of daytime warming. Traders' tight clustering at 21°C and 22°C (combined 85% implied probability) incorporates ensemble model spread and historical variance around the 26°C seasonal normal, while discounting higher outcomes absent clearer subtropical ridge influence. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$49,831Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a maximum of 20°C under cloudy skies with 70-80% rain probability during morning hours, reflecting early Tsuyu season suppression of daytime warming. Traders' tight clustering at 21°C and 22°C (combined 85% implied probability) incorporates ensemble model spread and historical variance around the 26°C seasonal normal, while discounting higher outcomes absent clearer subtropical ridge influence. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49,831Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 project a maximum of 20°C under cloudy skies with 70-80% rain probability during morning hours, reflecting early Tsuyu season suppression of daytime warming. Traders' tight clustering at 21°C and 22°C (combined 85% implied probability) incorporates ensemble model spread and historical variance around the 26°C seasonal normal, while discounting higher outcomes absent clearer subtropical ridge influence. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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