PAGASA's current forecast for Metro Manila on June 17, 2026, calls for a daytime high of 34°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and a 30% rain chance, consistent with easterly winds and localized thunderstorm activity. These conditions, typical of the early southwest monsoon transition, support the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 34°C by limiting intense solar heating through cloud cover and moisture. Seasonal baselines show June averages near 32–34°C, with recent model runs and historical analogs indicating limited upside for 35°C or higher absent clearer skies or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for forecast revisions before resolution against the low odds of extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 17?
34°C 40%
35°C 27%
33°C 18%
36°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
18%
34°C
40%
35°C
27%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 27%
33°C 18%
36°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
28°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28 Vol.
1%
31°C
$106 Vol.
1%
32°C
$125 Vol.
1%
33°C
$32 Vol.
18%
34°C
$72 Vol.
40%
35°C
$34 Vol.
27%
36°C
$1 Vol.
6%
37°C
$5 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's current forecast for Metro Manila on June 17, 2026, calls for a daytime high of 34°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and a 30% rain chance, consistent with easterly winds and localized thunderstorm activity. These conditions, typical of the early southwest monsoon transition, support the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 34°C by limiting intense solar heating through cloud cover and moisture. Seasonal baselines show June averages near 32–34°C, with recent model runs and historical analogs indicating limited upside for 35°C or higher absent clearer skies or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for forecast revisions before resolution against the low odds of extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$571Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's current forecast for Metro Manila on June 17, 2026, calls for a daytime high of 34°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and a 30% rain chance, consistent with easterly winds and localized thunderstorm activity. These conditions, typical of the early southwest monsoon transition, support the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 34°C by limiting intense solar heating through cloud cover and moisture. Seasonal baselines show June averages near 32–34°C, with recent model runs and historical analogs indicating limited upside for 35°C or higher absent clearer skies or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for forecast revisions before resolution against the low odds of extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$571Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's current forecast for Metro Manila on June 17, 2026, calls for a daytime high of 34°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and a 30% rain chance, consistent with easterly winds and localized thunderstorm activity. These conditions, typical of the early southwest monsoon transition, support the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 34°C by limiting intense solar heating through cloud cover and moisture. Seasonal baselines show June averages near 32–34°C, with recent model runs and historical analogs indicating limited upside for 35°C or higher absent clearer skies or suppressed convection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for forecast revisions before resolution against the low odds of extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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