Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts for Taipei on June 15 center near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% chance of afternoon convective thundershowers. These showers and variable cloud cover introduce key uncertainty by limiting surface heating and potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, which explains the tight clustering around 28–29°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Typical early-summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns further support this range, while historical June maxima near 32°C provide context for why cooler realizations remain plausible if convection develops earlier or more intensely than modeled. Updated short-range runs and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
28°C 32%
29°C 24.3%
27°C 24%
30°C 13%
NUEVO
$12,706 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,706 Vol.
15 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
32%
29°C
24%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
8%
28°C 32%
29°C 24.3%
27°C 24%
30°C 13%
NUEVO
$12,706 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,706 Vol.
15 jun 2026
21°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,624 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,001 Vol.
24%
28°C
$1,116 Vol.
32%
29°C
$819 Vol.
24%
30°C
$614 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$3,375 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts for Taipei on June 15 center near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% chance of afternoon convective thundershowers. These showers and variable cloud cover introduce key uncertainty by limiting surface heating and potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, which explains the tight clustering around 28–29°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Typical early-summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns further support this range, while historical June maxima near 32°C provide context for why cooler realizations remain plausible if convection develops earlier or more intensely than modeled. Updated short-range runs and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$12,706Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts for Taipei on June 15 center near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% chance of afternoon convective thundershowers. These showers and variable cloud cover introduce key uncertainty by limiting surface heating and potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, which explains the tight clustering around 28–29°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Typical early-summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns further support this range, while historical June maxima near 32°C provide context for why cooler realizations remain plausible if convection develops earlier or more intensely than modeled. Updated short-range runs and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,706Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration ensemble forecasts for Taipei on June 15 center near 29°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% chance of afternoon convective thundershowers. These showers and variable cloud cover introduce key uncertainty by limiting surface heating and potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C, which explains the tight clustering around 28–29°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Typical early-summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns further support this range, while historical June maxima near 32°C provide context for why cooler realizations remain plausible if convection develops earlier or more intensely than modeled. Updated short-range runs and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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