Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models show Shanghai's overnight low on June 17 most likely settling near 22–23°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering around these outcomes, stems from small but resolution-critical differences in predicted nocturnal radiative cooling, low-level wind speeds, and any light precipitation timing that could either enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. In Shanghai’s humid climate, boundary-layer moisture often limits clear-sky cooling, keeping values within the observed mid-June climatological range of 20–24°C while leaving room for model spread to influence exact resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 17 de junio?
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
21°C 12%
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
16%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
21°C 12%
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
16%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models show Shanghai's overnight low on June 17 most likely settling near 22–23°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering around these outcomes, stems from small but resolution-critical differences in predicted nocturnal radiative cooling, low-level wind speeds, and any light precipitation timing that could either enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. In Shanghai’s humid climate, boundary-layer moisture often limits clear-sky cooling, keeping values within the observed mid-June climatological range of 20–24°C while leaving room for model spread to influence exact resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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