Iran's Revolutionary Guards effectively deterred a potential Kurdish uprising through airstrikes in neighboring Iraq and direct threats against separatist groups, as reported in early April 2026, preventing any formal declaration of independence despite earlier U.S. discussions with Iranian Kurdish militias and President Trump's public encouragement of dissidents. The 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis, marked by protests in January and armed activity in March, fizzled without major groups like the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan advancing sovereignty claims amid Tehran's repression. With no verified declarations or referendums in the past 30 days and ongoing military pressure, traders see slim odds of escalation, though sudden diplomatic shifts or external support could alter dynamics before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Los kurdos declaran su independencia de Irán?
¿Los kurdos declaran su independencia de Irán?
Sí
$132,069 Vol.
$132,069 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$132,069 Vol.
$132,069 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's Revolutionary Guards effectively deterred a potential Kurdish uprising through airstrikes in neighboring Iraq and direct threats against separatist groups, as reported in early April 2026, preventing any formal declaration of independence despite earlier U.S. discussions with Iranian Kurdish militias and President Trump's public encouragement of dissidents. The 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis, marked by protests in January and armed activity in March, fizzled without major groups like the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan advancing sovereignty claims amid Tehran's repression. With no verified declarations or referendums in the past 30 days and ongoing military pressure, traders see slim odds of escalation, though sudden diplomatic shifts or external support could alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volumen
$132,069Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's Revolutionary Guards effectively deterred a potential Kurdish uprising through airstrikes in neighboring Iraq and direct threats against separatist groups, as reported in early April 2026, preventing any formal declaration of independence despite earlier U.S. discussions with Iranian Kurdish militias and President Trump's public encouragement of dissidents. The 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis, marked by protests in January and armed activity in March, fizzled without major groups like the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan advancing sovereignty claims amid Tehran's repression. With no verified declarations or referendums in the past 30 days and ongoing military pressure, traders see slim odds of escalation, though sudden diplomatic shifts or external support could alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$132,069Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Revolutionary Guards effectively deterred a potential Kurdish uprising through airstrikes in neighboring Iraq and direct threats against separatist groups, as reported in early April 2026, preventing any formal declaration of independence despite earlier U.S. discussions with Iranian Kurdish militias and President Trump's public encouragement of dissidents. The 2026 Kurdish-Iranian crisis, marked by protests in January and armed activity in March, fizzled without major groups like the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan advancing sovereignty claims amid Tehran's repression. With no verified declarations or referendums in the past 30 days and ongoing military pressure, traders see slim odds of escalation, though sudden diplomatic shifts or external support could alter dynamics before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes