Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's four-year term expires May 15, 2026, after which President Trump’s January nominee Kevin Warsh is positioned to assume the role pending full Senate confirmation. On April 29, Powell confirmed during his final FOMC press conference that he will step down as chair at term's end but remain on the Fed Board of Governors through at least 2028 amid ongoing DOJ probes tied to a headquarters renovation. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Warsh's nomination on a party-line vote the same day, signaling momentum despite potential holds or floor delays. Traders weigh confirmation timeline risks, Fed independence norms, and historical precedents where outgoing chairs exit promptly post-term, with no reappointment indicated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$29,778 Vol.
May 16
86%
15 de mayo
56%
May 31
97%
June 30
99%
$29,778 Vol.
May 16
86%
15 de mayo
56%
May 31
97%
June 30
99%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's four-year term expires May 15, 2026, after which President Trump’s January nominee Kevin Warsh is positioned to assume the role pending full Senate confirmation. On April 29, Powell confirmed during his final FOMC press conference that he will step down as chair at term's end but remain on the Fed Board of Governors through at least 2028 amid ongoing DOJ probes tied to a headquarters renovation. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Warsh's nomination on a party-line vote the same day, signaling momentum despite potential holds or floor delays. Traders weigh confirmation timeline risks, Fed independence norms, and historical precedents where outgoing chairs exit promptly post-term, with no reappointment indicated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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