Skip to main content
icon for Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Política·Elecciones Globales

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Política·Elecciones Globales

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

40-45% 98.5%

50-55% 1.0%

35-40% <1%

<30% <1%

Polymarket

$28,273 Vol.

40-45% 98.5%

50-55% 1.0%

35-40% <1%

<30% <1%

Polymarket

$28,273 Vol.

<30%

$4,965 Vol.

1%

30-35%

$1,933 Vol.

1%

35-40%

$3,652 Vol.

1%

40-45%

$7,488 Vol.

99%

45-50%

$3,262 Vol.

<1%

50-55%

$3,038 Vol.

1%

55%+

$3,936 Vol.

1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing him firmly in the 40-45 percent range as official tallies from the national civil registry were finalized. Pre-election polls had positioned the Historic Pact candidate and ally of outgoing President Gustavo Petro as the likely leader, yet Abelardo de la Espriella captured a larger share of conservative support than anticipated, splitting the field and preventing any outright majority. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s endorsement of de la Espriella consolidated the right ahead of the June 21 runoff. Trader consensus reflects these certified results, with only narrow room for adjustment from verified recounts or administrative reviews of specific polling stations.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$28,273
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing him firmly in the 40-45 percent range as official tallies from the national civil registry were finalized. Pre-election polls had positioned the Historic Pact candidate and ally of outgoing President Gustavo Petro as the likely leader, yet Abelardo de la Espriella captured a larger share of conservative support than anticipated, splitting the field and preventing any outright majority. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia’s endorsement of de la Espriella consolidated the right ahead of the June 21 runoff. Trader consensus reflects these certified results, with only narrow room for adjustment from verified recounts or administrative reviews of specific polling stations.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$28,273
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "40-45%" con 99%, seguido de "<30%" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" ha generado $28.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" es "40-45%" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<30%" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.