Stalled U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, have reached an impasse over Tehran's uranium enrichment program, with recent IAEA reports confirming significant highly enriched uranium stockpiles remain at the Isfahan site as of April 29. Despite President Trump's mid-April claims of Iranian concessions to halt enrichment, Tehran has rejected long-term suspension proposals—including a U.S. offer for a 20-year freeze—and insists on retaining enrichment rights. No verifiable diplomatic agreement has emerged in the past 30 days, amid prior strikes on Iranian facilities and unresolved issues like the Strait of Hormuz blockade, leading traders to price a 75.5% "No" probability ahead of the June 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$653,674 Vol.
$653,674 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$653,674 Vol.
$653,674 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Stalled U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, have reached an impasse over Tehran's uranium enrichment program, with recent IAEA reports confirming significant highly enriched uranium stockpiles remain at the Isfahan site as of April 29. Despite President Trump's mid-April claims of Iranian concessions to halt enrichment, Tehran has rejected long-term suspension proposals—including a U.S. offer for a 20-year freeze—and insists on retaining enrichment rights. No verifiable diplomatic agreement has emerged in the past 30 days, amid prior strikes on Iranian facilities and unresolved issues like the Strait of Hormuz blockade, leading traders to price a 75.5% "No" probability ahead of the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$653,674Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Stalled U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, have reached an impasse over Tehran's uranium enrichment program, with recent IAEA reports confirming significant highly enriched uranium stockpiles remain at the Isfahan site as of April 29. Despite President Trump's mid-April claims of Iranian concessions to halt enrichment, Tehran has rejected long-term suspension proposals—including a U.S. offer for a 20-year freeze—and insists on retaining enrichment rights. No verifiable diplomatic agreement has emerged in the past 30 days, amid prior strikes on Iranian facilities and unresolved issues like the Strait of Hormuz blockade, leading traders to price a 75.5% "No" probability ahead of the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$653,674Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, have reached an impasse over Tehran's uranium enrichment program, with recent IAEA reports confirming significant highly enriched uranium stockpiles remain at the Isfahan site as of April 29. Despite President Trump's mid-April claims of Iranian concessions to halt enrichment, Tehran has rejected long-term suspension proposals—including a U.S. offer for a 20-year freeze—and insists on retaining enrichment rights. No verifiable diplomatic agreement has emerged in the past 30 days, amid prior strikes on Iranian facilities and unresolved issues like the Strait of Hormuz blockade, leading traders to price a 75.5% "No" probability ahead of the June 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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