Skip to main content
icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

jun 30

jun 30

2% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
2% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of any established legal or diplomatic mechanism for a U.S. president to unilaterally rename an international waterway such as the Strait of Hormuz underpins trader consensus that the outcome will not occur by June 30. Geographic designations typically involve coordination among coastal states, bodies like the International Hydrographic Organization, and national mapping agencies rather than executive orders or presidential memoranda. No public statements, campaign pledges, or administration actions have signaled intent to pursue such a change, and the short remaining timeline leaves little room for the required multilateral negotiations or domestic procedural steps. While an unexpected executive action could theoretically be attempted, historical patterns show that even formal U.S. designations require broader acceptance to take effect internationally and face significant structural barriers in active conflict or energy-security contexts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,978
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of any established legal or diplomatic mechanism for a U.S. president to unilaterally rename an international waterway such as the Strait of Hormuz underpins trader consensus that the outcome will not occur by June 30. Geographic designations typically involve coordination among coastal states, bodies like the International Hydrographic Organization, and national mapping agencies rather than executive orders or presidential memoranda. No public statements, campaign pledges, or administration actions have signaled intent to pursue such a change, and the short remaining timeline leaves little room for the required multilateral negotiations or domestic procedural steps. While an unexpected executive action could theoretically be attempted, historical patterns show that even formal U.S. designations require broader acceptance to take effect internationally and face significant structural barriers in active conflict or energy-security contexts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,978
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 2% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 2¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?" es 2% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 2% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.