Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Tokyo high of 23°C (44.5% implied probability) or 24°C (28.5%), reflecting clear skies and highs of 24-25°C expected on May 10 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Today's May 9 observations near 24°C amid sunny, breezy conditions with northwest winds support mild spring patterns, where average May highs hover around 23°C but recent model ensembles show slight spread due to potential afternoon cloudiness or station-specific measurements at Haneda Airport. Low precipitation odds (0-10%) favor warming via full insolation, though ensemble uncertainty keeps lower outcomes viable; monitor JMA's overnight updates for final guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 10?
23°C 47%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
25°C or higher 8%
NUEVO
$31,108 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,108 Vol.
10 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
22%
23°C
47%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
8%
23°C 47%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
25°C or higher 8%
NUEVO
$31,108 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,108 Vol.
10 may 2026
15°C or below
$1,453 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,947 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,463 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,086 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,335 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,368 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
22%
23°C
$1,491 Vol.
47%
24°C
$1,563 Vol.
27%
25°C or higher
$3,544 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Tokyo high of 23°C (44.5% implied probability) or 24°C (28.5%), reflecting clear skies and highs of 24-25°C expected on May 10 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Today's May 9 observations near 24°C amid sunny, breezy conditions with northwest winds support mild spring patterns, where average May highs hover around 23°C but recent model ensembles show slight spread due to potential afternoon cloudiness or station-specific measurements at Haneda Airport. Low precipitation odds (0-10%) favor warming via full insolation, though ensemble uncertainty keeps lower outcomes viable; monitor JMA's overnight updates for final guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$31,108Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Tokyo high of 23°C (44.5% implied probability) or 24°C (28.5%), reflecting clear skies and highs of 24-25°C expected on May 10 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Today's May 9 observations near 24°C amid sunny, breezy conditions with northwest winds support mild spring patterns, where average May highs hover around 23°C but recent model ensembles show slight spread due to potential afternoon cloudiness or station-specific measurements at Haneda Airport. Low precipitation odds (0-10%) favor warming via full insolation, though ensemble uncertainty keeps lower outcomes viable; monitor JMA's overnight updates for final guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,108Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Tokyo high of 23°C (44.5% implied probability) or 24°C (28.5%), reflecting clear skies and highs of 24-25°C expected on May 10 under a stable high-pressure ridge. Today's May 9 observations near 24°C amid sunny, breezy conditions with northwest winds support mild spring patterns, where average May highs hover around 23°C but recent model ensembles show slight spread due to potential afternoon cloudiness or station-specific measurements at Haneda Airport. Low precipitation odds (0-10%) favor warming via full insolation, though ensemble uncertainty keeps lower outcomes viable; monitor JMA's overnight updates for final guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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