Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 24°C (40% implied probability) for May 10, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast indicating cloudy conditions with southerly winds under 12 km/h, capping peak temperatures after today's sunny 25°C high. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (26°C) and timeanddate.com (25.6°C) show slight variance, but ensemble means cluster near 24°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. May climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 24-25°C; probabilities drop sharply above 25°C due to cloud-induced cooling risks. Final resolution hinges on official Shanghai Pudong Airport observations, with intraday updates potentially refining odds before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 10 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 10 de mayo?
24°C 41%
23°C 29%
25°C 20%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
$31,761 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,761 Vol.
10 may 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
29%
24°C
41%
25°C
20%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C o superior
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 29%
25°C 20%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
$31,761 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,761 Vol.
10 may 2026
18°C o menos
$3,204 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,375 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,781 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,391 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,105 Vol.
6%
23°C
$3,123 Vol.
29%
24°C
$1,806 Vol.
41%
25°C
$2,264 Vol.
20%
26°C
$1,484 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,957 Vol.
2%
28°C o superior
$2,302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 24°C (40% implied probability) for May 10, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast indicating cloudy conditions with southerly winds under 12 km/h, capping peak temperatures after today's sunny 25°C high. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (26°C) and timeanddate.com (25.6°C) show slight variance, but ensemble means cluster near 24°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. May climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 24-25°C; probabilities drop sharply above 25°C due to cloud-induced cooling risks. Final resolution hinges on official Shanghai Pudong Airport observations, with intraday updates potentially refining odds before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$31,761Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 24°C (40% implied probability) for May 10, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast indicating cloudy conditions with southerly winds under 12 km/h, capping peak temperatures after today's sunny 25°C high. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (26°C) and timeanddate.com (25.6°C) show slight variance, but ensemble means cluster near 24°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. May climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 24-25°C; probabilities drop sharply above 25°C due to cloud-induced cooling risks. Final resolution hinges on official Shanghai Pudong Airport observations, with intraday updates potentially refining odds before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,761Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 24°C (40% implied probability) for May 10, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast indicating cloudy conditions with southerly winds under 12 km/h, capping peak temperatures after today's sunny 25°C high. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (26°C) and timeanddate.com (25.6°C) show slight variance, but ensemble means cluster near 24°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. May climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 24-25°C; probabilities drop sharply above 25°C due to cloud-induced cooling risks. Final resolution hinges on official Shanghai Pudong Airport observations, with intraday updates potentially refining odds before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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