Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 12°C at 59% and 13°C at 56.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Roshydromet observations and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS converging on 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds at 5-10 m/s advecting cool air. Midday readings near 11-12°C confirm subdued warming, well below May climatological averages of 17°C following warmer days earlier this week. Differentiating 12°C from 13°C hinges on cloud opacity variations—thicker stratus maintaining 12°C per timeanddate.com hourly guidance peaking at 12°C around 3-4 p.m., versus potential thinning allowing 13°C in some GFS runs. Final official max from central stations like Balchug expected by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 9?
12°C 97.5%
13°C 3.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$60,185 Vol.
$60,185 Vol.
9 may 2026
12°C
98%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 97.5%
13°C 3.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$60,185 Vol.
$60,185 Vol.
9 may 2026
12°C
$5,349 Vol.
98%
13°C
$4,692 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5,560 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,776 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$7,737 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$12,531 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 12°C at 59% and 13°C at 56.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Roshydromet observations and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS converging on 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds at 5-10 m/s advecting cool air. Midday readings near 11-12°C confirm subdued warming, well below May climatological averages of 17°C following warmer days earlier this week. Differentiating 12°C from 13°C hinges on cloud opacity variations—thicker stratus maintaining 12°C per timeanddate.com hourly guidance peaking at 12°C around 3-4 p.m., versus potential thinning allowing 13°C in some GFS runs. Final official max from central stations like Balchug expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$60,185Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 12°C at 59% and 13°C at 56.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Roshydromet observations and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS converging on 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds at 5-10 m/s advecting cool air. Midday readings near 11-12°C confirm subdued warming, well below May climatological averages of 17°C following warmer days earlier this week. Differentiating 12°C from 13°C hinges on cloud opacity variations—thicker stratus maintaining 12°C per timeanddate.com hourly guidance peaking at 12°C around 3-4 p.m., versus potential thinning allowing 13°C in some GFS runs. Final official max from central stations like Balchug expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$60,185Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 12°C at 59% and 13°C at 56.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Roshydromet observations and international model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS converging on 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds at 5-10 m/s advecting cool air. Midday readings near 11-12°C confirm subdued warming, well below May climatological averages of 17°C following warmer days earlier this week. Differentiating 12°C from 13°C hinges on cloud opacity variations—thicker stratus maintaining 12°C per timeanddate.com hourly guidance peaking at 12°C around 3-4 p.m., versus potential thinning allowing 13°C in some GFS runs. Final official max from central stations like Balchug expected by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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