PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 15 project a high of 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 30–40% rain chances from afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that typically caps daytime peaks. These conditions align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C and 34°C. Historical June averages near 32°C and current model consensus from official monitoring reinforce trader positioning around this narrow range, as monsoon-driven humidity and scattered showers reduce the likelihood of extremes above 35°C or below 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings ahead of the date will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 15 de junio?
33°C 45%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 5.5%
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 5.5%
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 15 project a high of 32–34°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 30–40% rain chances from afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover that typically caps daytime peaks. These conditions align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C and 34°C. Historical June averages near 32°C and current model consensus from official monitoring reinforce trader positioning around this narrow range, as monsoon-driven humidity and scattered showers reduce the likelihood of extremes above 35°C or below 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings ahead of the date will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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