Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport's highest temperature on May 10, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 68-72°F due to persistent marine layer effects amid a developing high-pressure ridge. Latest model guidance from NOAA ensembles shows a 2-4°F spread, driven by variable morning stratus cloud cover and onshore southwest winds of 5-10 mph delaying clearing and limiting solar insolation at the coastal LAX station. Recent developments include NWS updates noting patchy fog through mid-morning, muting heat wave impacts seen inland (downtown LA nearing 86°F by May 11), while historical May averages at LAX hover near 70°F. Evening forecast discussions may refine odds based on latest soundings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
68-69°F 38%
72°F or higher 35%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 3.7%
$21,098 Vol.
$21,098 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
22%
72°F or higher
35%
68-69°F 38%
72°F or higher 35%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 3.7%
$21,098 Vol.
$21,098 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
22%
72°F or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport's highest temperature on May 10, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 68-72°F due to persistent marine layer effects amid a developing high-pressure ridge. Latest model guidance from NOAA ensembles shows a 2-4°F spread, driven by variable morning stratus cloud cover and onshore southwest winds of 5-10 mph delaying clearing and limiting solar insolation at the coastal LAX station. Recent developments include NWS updates noting patchy fog through mid-morning, muting heat wave impacts seen inland (downtown LA nearing 86°F by May 11), while historical May averages at LAX hover near 70°F. Evening forecast discussions may refine odds based on latest soundings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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