Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41.5% implied probability for a 15°C high in London on May 10, closely trailed by 16°C at 25% and 14°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting a maximum of 16°C amid cloudy conditions and strengthening northeasterly winds gusting to 31 mph, which will enhance the chill factor despite moderate insolation. This positions these outcomes as leaders following a recent cooling trend from warmer highs near 21°C on May 9, driven by low pressure edging closer and limiting solar heating. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 14-16°C, though brief sunny spells could nudge toward 16°C; updated guidance expected overnight may refine probabilities further ahead of observations at key sites like Heathrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 10?
Highest temperature in London on May 10?
15°C 48%
16°C 28%
14°C 15%
17°C 9%
NUEVO
$48,509 Vol.
NUEVO
$48,509 Vol.
10 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C
48%
16°C
28%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 48%
16°C 28%
14°C 15%
17°C 9%
NUEVO
$48,509 Vol.
NUEVO
$48,509 Vol.
10 may 2026
10°C or below
$5,709 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5,213 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,834 Vol.
1%
13°C
$6,398 Vol.
2%
14°C
$5,651 Vol.
15%
15°C
$4,691 Vol.
48%
16°C
$3,698 Vol.
28%
17°C
$3,687 Vol.
9%
18°C
$2,997 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,722 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$4,301 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41.5% implied probability for a 15°C high in London on May 10, closely trailed by 16°C at 25% and 14°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting a maximum of 16°C amid cloudy conditions and strengthening northeasterly winds gusting to 31 mph, which will enhance the chill factor despite moderate insolation. This positions these outcomes as leaders following a recent cooling trend from warmer highs near 21°C on May 9, driven by low pressure edging closer and limiting solar heating. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 14-16°C, though brief sunny spells could nudge toward 16°C; updated guidance expected overnight may refine probabilities further ahead of observations at key sites like Heathrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$48,509Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41.5% implied probability for a 15°C high in London on May 10, closely trailed by 16°C at 25% and 14°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting a maximum of 16°C amid cloudy conditions and strengthening northeasterly winds gusting to 31 mph, which will enhance the chill factor despite moderate insolation. This positions these outcomes as leaders following a recent cooling trend from warmer highs near 21°C on May 9, driven by low pressure edging closer and limiting solar heating. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 14-16°C, though brief sunny spells could nudge toward 16°C; updated guidance expected overnight may refine probabilities further ahead of observations at key sites like Heathrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,509Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41.5% implied probability for a 15°C high in London on May 10, closely trailed by 16°C at 25% and 14°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting a maximum of 16°C amid cloudy conditions and strengthening northeasterly winds gusting to 31 mph, which will enhance the chill factor despite moderate insolation. This positions these outcomes as leaders following a recent cooling trend from warmer highs near 21°C on May 9, driven by low pressure edging closer and limiting solar heating. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 14-16°C, though brief sunny spells could nudge toward 16°C; updated guidance expected overnight may refine probabilities further ahead of observations at key sites like Heathrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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