Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and China Meteorological Administration show Guangzhou's June 15 maximum likely reaching 29–30°C under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering at those levels. Subtropical monsoon influences, including elevated moisture and reduced solar heating from cloud cover, are capping extremes below typical June highs near 31–32°C, while steering patterns limit rapid warming. Model consensus supports this range over higher outcomes, though slight variations in precipitation timing could shift results by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
$10,504 Vol.
$10,504 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
29%
30°C
30%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
$10,504 Vol.
$10,504 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
29%
30°C
30%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and China Meteorological Administration show Guangzhou's June 15 maximum likely reaching 29–30°C under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering at those levels. Subtropical monsoon influences, including elevated moisture and reduced solar heating from cloud cover, are capping extremes below typical June highs near 31–32°C, while steering patterns limit rapid warming. Model consensus supports this range over higher outcomes, though slight variations in precipitation timing could shift results by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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