Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate moderate conditions for Chengdu on June 16, with projected daily highs clustered around 27–29°C, aligning with the market's emphasis on 27°C or below as the leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Mid-June climatology for the Sichuan basin features average highs near 29–31°C amid increasing monsoon moisture and frequent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Current atmospheric patterns, including potential precipitation and regional humidity, further suppress peak temperatures according to agency guidance. Short-term model consensus remains the dominant driver, though revisions ahead of the date could shift odds if clearer skies emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C o menos 51%
28°C 24%
29°C 15%
30°C 5%
27°C o menos
51%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
27°C o menos 51%
28°C 24%
29°C 15%
30°C 5%
27°C o menos
51%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate moderate conditions for Chengdu on June 16, with projected daily highs clustered around 27–29°C, aligning with the market's emphasis on 27°C or below as the leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Mid-June climatology for the Sichuan basin features average highs near 29–31°C amid increasing monsoon moisture and frequent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Current atmospheric patterns, including potential precipitation and regional humidity, further suppress peak temperatures according to agency guidance. Short-term model consensus remains the dominant driver, though revisions ahead of the date could shift odds if clearer skies emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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