Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts place Beijing's May 10 high temperature at 32–33°C amid North China's first heat wave of 2026, driving the razor-thin trader split between those outcomes at 38% and 32.5% implied probabilities. Following an unusually cool May 9 maximum below 22°C under persistent cloud cover, a high-pressure ridge will induce subsidence, dry conditions, and strong solar heating despite partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs—variability in afternoon cloud persistence and warm air advection could cap peaks at 31–32°C or push to 33°C. Historical May averages hover near 27°C, underscoring the 4–6°C anomaly; monitor CMA hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport station for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
32°C 41%
33°C 33%
31°C 21%
34°C 8%
NUEVO
$32,073 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,073 Vol.
10 may 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
21%
32°C
41%
33°C
33%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 33%
31°C 21%
34°C 8%
NUEVO
$32,073 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,073 Vol.
10 may 2026
29°C or below
$6,468 Vol.
1%
30°C
$6,167 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,249 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,813 Vol.
41%
33°C
$2,705 Vol.
33%
34°C
$3,423 Vol.
8%
35°C
$2,675 Vol.
1%
36°C
$2,895 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,806 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$810 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts place Beijing's May 10 high temperature at 32–33°C amid North China's first heat wave of 2026, driving the razor-thin trader split between those outcomes at 38% and 32.5% implied probabilities. Following an unusually cool May 9 maximum below 22°C under persistent cloud cover, a high-pressure ridge will induce subsidence, dry conditions, and strong solar heating despite partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs—variability in afternoon cloud persistence and warm air advection could cap peaks at 31–32°C or push to 33°C. Historical May averages hover near 27°C, underscoring the 4–6°C anomaly; monitor CMA hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport station for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$32,073Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts place Beijing's May 10 high temperature at 32–33°C amid North China's first heat wave of 2026, driving the razor-thin trader split between those outcomes at 38% and 32.5% implied probabilities. Following an unusually cool May 9 maximum below 22°C under persistent cloud cover, a high-pressure ridge will induce subsidence, dry conditions, and strong solar heating despite partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs—variability in afternoon cloud persistence and warm air advection could cap peaks at 31–32°C or push to 33°C. Historical May averages hover near 27°C, underscoring the 4–6°C anomaly; monitor CMA hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport station for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,073Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts place Beijing's May 10 high temperature at 32–33°C amid North China's first heat wave of 2026, driving the razor-thin trader split between those outcomes at 38% and 32.5% implied probabilities. Following an unusually cool May 9 maximum below 22°C under persistent cloud cover, a high-pressure ridge will induce subsidence, dry conditions, and strong solar heating despite partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs—variability in afternoon cloud persistence and warm air advection could cap peaks at 31–32°C or push to 33°C. Historical May averages hover near 27°C, underscoring the 4–6°C anomaly; monitor CMA hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport station for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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