Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have driven energy prices higher, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 3.0% in June staff forecasts. In response, the Governing Council hiked key rates by 25 basis points on June 11, 2026, lifting the deposit facility to 2.25%, with markets now pricing additional tightening through September. This shift reversed earlier expectations of easing, as growth forecasts were trimmed amid weaker demand and commodity shocks. Traders therefore see limited scope for cuts this year, viewing the policy path as one of gradual tightening to anchor medium-term inflation at the 2% target.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$28,257 Vol.
$28,257 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$28,257 Vol.
$28,257 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have driven energy prices higher, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 3.0% in June staff forecasts. In response, the Governing Council hiked key rates by 25 basis points on June 11, 2026, lifting the deposit facility to 2.25%, with markets now pricing additional tightening through September. This shift reversed earlier expectations of easing, as growth forecasts were trimmed amid weaker demand and commodity shocks. Traders therefore see limited scope for cuts this year, viewing the policy path as one of gradual tightening to anchor medium-term inflation at the 2% target.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$28,257Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have driven energy prices higher, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 3.0% in June staff forecasts. In response, the Governing Council hiked key rates by 25 basis points on June 11, 2026, lifting the deposit facility to 2.25%, with markets now pricing additional tightening through September. This shift reversed earlier expectations of easing, as growth forecasts were trimmed amid weaker demand and commodity shocks. Traders therefore see limited scope for cuts this year, viewing the policy path as one of gradual tightening to anchor medium-term inflation at the 2% target.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$28,257Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have driven energy prices higher, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 headline inflation projection upward to 3.0% in June staff forecasts. In response, the Governing Council hiked key rates by 25 basis points on June 11, 2026, lifting the deposit facility to 2.25%, with markets now pricing additional tightening through September. This shift reversed earlier expectations of easing, as growth forecasts were trimmed amid weaker demand and commodity shocks. Traders therefore see limited scope for cuts this year, viewing the policy path as one of gradual tightening to anchor medium-term inflation at the 2% target.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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