David Jolly's commanding 84% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from his fundraising dominance, raising over $3 million by early 2026 with a five-to-one edge over challenger Jerry Demings, bolstered by a $900,000 surge following Democratic special election upsets in early April. Recent campaigning, including stops in Orlando promising homeowners insurance cuts and education reforms on April 17, and Ocala on April 19, has amplified his visibility and crossover appeal as a former Republican congressman. Demings trails at 13.5% amid lagging funds, while state legislators like Fentrice Driskell (2.9%) and others hold minimal support in early polls showing most Democrats undecided. The August 18 primary looms as the key test amid Florida's competitive midterm dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDavid Jolly 84%
Jerry Demings 13.9%
Fentrice Driskell 2.8%
Shevrin Jones <1%
$14,841 Vol.
$14,841 Vol.
David Jolly
84%
Jerry Demings
14%
Fentrice Driskell
3%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
David Jolly 84%
Jerry Demings 13.9%
Fentrice Driskell 2.8%
Shevrin Jones <1%
$14,841 Vol.
$14,841 Vol.
David Jolly
84%
Jerry Demings
14%
Fentrice Driskell
3%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly's commanding 84% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from his fundraising dominance, raising over $3 million by early 2026 with a five-to-one edge over challenger Jerry Demings, bolstered by a $900,000 surge following Democratic special election upsets in early April. Recent campaigning, including stops in Orlando promising homeowners insurance cuts and education reforms on April 17, and Ocala on April 19, has amplified his visibility and crossover appeal as a former Republican congressman. Demings trails at 13.5% amid lagging funds, while state legislators like Fentrice Driskell (2.9%) and others hold minimal support in early polls showing most Democrats undecided. The August 18 primary looms as the key test amid Florida's competitive midterm dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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