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Economía·Política Económica

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

icon for Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
Economía·Política Económica

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

jun 30

jul 31

jun 30

jul 31

Increase 78%

No change 18%

Decrease <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Increase 78%

No change 18%

Decrease <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Decrease

$2,473 Vol.

<1%

No change

$2,670 Vol.

18%

Increase

$2,740 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Persistent inflation pressures above the 3% target, with expectations climbing toward 6.3–6.4% for year-end 2026 amid resilient demand and recent fiscal stimulus, form the primary driver behind the 79% market-implied probability of a rate increase at the Banco de la República’s June 30 meeting.** The policy rate stands at 11.25% following two 100-basis-point hikes earlier in 2026 and a unanimous hold in April that surprised markets expecting further tightening. Traders appear to view the April pause as a temporary compromise rather than a pivot, pricing in additional monetary tightening to anchor expectations amid above-target CPI readings near 5.8% and external risks. The low odds on no change (17.5%) or a decrease (0.3%) reflect limited scope for easing given the central bank’s commitment to returning inflation to target, with the June inflation print and any updated projections likely serving as the final catalysts ahead of the decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$7,883
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Persistent inflation pressures above the 3% target, with expectations climbing toward 6.3–6.4% for year-end 2026 amid resilient demand and recent fiscal stimulus, form the primary driver behind the 79% market-implied probability of a rate increase at the Banco de la República’s June 30 meeting.** The policy rate stands at 11.25% following two 100-basis-point hikes earlier in 2026 and a unanimous hold in April that surprised markets expecting further tightening. Traders appear to view the April pause as a temporary compromise rather than a pivot, pricing in additional monetary tightening to anchor expectations amid above-target CPI readings near 5.8% and external risks. The low odds on no change (17.5%) or a decrease (0.3%) reflect limited scope for easing given the central bank’s commitment to returning inflation to target, with the June inflation print and any updated projections likely serving as the final catalysts ahead of the decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$7,883
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Increase" con 78%, seguido de "No change" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?" es "Increase" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "No change" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.