Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum after unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29. This positioning stems from cooling core inflation trends and a recovering Q1 2026 economy amid 5.8% unemployment, though tempered by the latest Copom statement's hawkish tone citing deanchored inflation expectations and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. April's IPCA-15 accelerated to 0.89% month-on-month (4.37% year-on-year), below forecasts but signaling upside risks that elevate no-change odds to 25%, with hikes dismissed at 0.4%. Key watch: May inflation data and geopolitical developments ahead of mid-June resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 77%
Sin cambios 23.9%
Aumentar <1%
$72,005 Vol.
$72,005 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
<1%
Sin cambios
24%
Disminuir
77%
Disminuir 77%
Sin cambios 23.9%
Aumentar <1%
$72,005 Vol.
$72,005 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$24,823 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$17,797 Vol.
24%
Disminuir
$29,384 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum after unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29. This positioning stems from cooling core inflation trends and a recovering Q1 2026 economy amid 5.8% unemployment, though tempered by the latest Copom statement's hawkish tone citing deanchored inflation expectations and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. April's IPCA-15 accelerated to 0.89% month-on-month (4.37% year-on-year), below forecasts but signaling upside risks that elevate no-change odds to 25%, with hikes dismissed at 0.4%. Key watch: May inflation data and geopolitical developments ahead of mid-June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$72,005Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum after unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29. This positioning stems from cooling core inflation trends and a recovering Q1 2026 economy amid 5.8% unemployment, though tempered by the latest Copom statement's hawkish tone citing deanchored inflation expectations and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. April's IPCA-15 accelerated to 0.89% month-on-month (4.37% year-on-year), below forecasts but signaling upside risks that elevate no-change odds to 25%, with hikes dismissed at 0.4%. Key watch: May inflation data and geopolitical developments ahead of mid-June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$72,005Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's momentum after unanimous 25 basis point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29. This positioning stems from cooling core inflation trends and a recovering Q1 2026 economy amid 5.8% unemployment, though tempered by the latest Copom statement's hawkish tone citing deanchored inflation expectations and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. April's IPCA-15 accelerated to 0.89% month-on-month (4.37% year-on-year), below forecasts but signaling upside risks that elevate no-change odds to 25%, with hikes dismissed at 0.4%. Key watch: May inflation data and geopolitical developments ahead of mid-June resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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