The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) stems from Rodrigues’s solid approval ratings of 56–61 percent on education and infrastructure, offset by voter concerns over crime and a national shift that has bolstered Neto’s right-wing positioning after his alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential effort. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from April–May 2026 show a technical tie or narrow Neto edge in first-round scenarios, narrowing an earlier lead for the former Salvador mayor. Municipal alliances have partially shifted toward Rodrigues, yet the rematch remains competitive heading into the October 4 first round, with traders pricing the outcome near even amid ongoing polarization and undecided voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$33,093 Vol.
$33,093 Vol.
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
46%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$33,093 Vol.
$33,093 Vol.
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
$9,746 Vol.
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$10,041 Vol.
46%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,935 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) stems from Rodrigues’s solid approval ratings of 56–61 percent on education and infrastructure, offset by voter concerns over crime and a national shift that has bolstered Neto’s right-wing positioning after his alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential effort. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from April–May 2026 show a technical tie or narrow Neto edge in first-round scenarios, narrowing an earlier lead for the former Salvador mayor. Municipal alliances have partially shifted toward Rodrigues, yet the rematch remains competitive heading into the October 4 first round, with traders pricing the outcome near even amid ongoing polarization and undecided voters.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$33,093Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) stems from Rodrigues’s solid approval ratings of 56–61 percent on education and infrastructure, offset by voter concerns over crime and a national shift that has bolstered Neto’s right-wing positioning after his alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential effort. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from April–May 2026 show a technical tie or narrow Neto edge in first-round scenarios, narrowing an earlier lead for the former Salvador mayor. Municipal alliances have partially shifted toward Rodrigues, yet the rematch remains competitive heading into the October 4 first round, with traders pricing the outcome near even amid ongoing polarization and undecided voters.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$33,093Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) stems from Rodrigues’s solid approval ratings of 56–61 percent on education and infrastructure, offset by voter concerns over crime and a national shift that has bolstered Neto’s right-wing positioning after his alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential effort. Recent Genial/Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from April–May 2026 show a technical tie or narrow Neto edge in first-round scenarios, narrowing an earlier lead for the former Salvador mayor. Municipal alliances have partially shifted toward Rodrigues, yet the rematch remains competitive heading into the October 4 first round, with traders pricing the outcome near even amid ongoing polarization and undecided voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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