The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) defending his record against challenger ACM Neto (UNIÃO) in the October 4, 2026 election, with a possible runoff. Rodrigues maintains approval ratings near 56-61 percent, buoyed by voter perceptions of progress on education and infrastructure, while national shifts—including UNIÃO's 2025 break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs—have energized opposition support in urban centers like Salvador. Recent state polls reflect a technical tie or narrow margins, with ACM Neto holding slight edges in some surveys and Rodrigues leading in others, reflecting divided voter blocs and the impact of national alliances on local preferences. This dynamic leaves room for late campaign developments, turnout shifts, or economic factors to influence first-round outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$32,753 Vol.
$32,753 Vol.
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
46%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$32,753 Vol.
$32,753 Vol.
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
$9,636 Vol.
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$9,811 Vol.
46%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,935 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) defending his record against challenger ACM Neto (UNIÃO) in the October 4, 2026 election, with a possible runoff. Rodrigues maintains approval ratings near 56-61 percent, buoyed by voter perceptions of progress on education and infrastructure, while national shifts—including UNIÃO's 2025 break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs—have energized opposition support in urban centers like Salvador. Recent state polls reflect a technical tie or narrow margins, with ACM Neto holding slight edges in some surveys and Rodrigues leading in others, reflecting divided voter blocs and the impact of national alliances on local preferences. This dynamic leaves room for late campaign developments, turnout shifts, or economic factors to influence first-round outcomes.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$32,753Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) defending his record against challenger ACM Neto (UNIÃO) in the October 4, 2026 election, with a possible runoff. Rodrigues maintains approval ratings near 56-61 percent, buoyed by voter perceptions of progress on education and infrastructure, while national shifts—including UNIÃO's 2025 break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs—have energized opposition support in urban centers like Salvador. Recent state polls reflect a technical tie or narrow margins, with ACM Neto holding slight edges in some surveys and Rodrigues leading in others, reflecting divided voter blocs and the impact of national alliances on local preferences. This dynamic leaves room for late campaign developments, turnout shifts, or economic factors to influence first-round outcomes.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$32,753Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) defending his record against challenger ACM Neto (UNIÃO) in the October 4, 2026 election, with a possible runoff. Rodrigues maintains approval ratings near 56-61 percent, buoyed by voter perceptions of progress on education and infrastructure, while national shifts—including UNIÃO's 2025 break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs—have energized opposition support in urban centers like Salvador. Recent state polls reflect a technical tie or narrow margins, with ACM Neto holding slight edges in some surveys and Rodrigues leading in others, reflecting divided voter blocs and the impact of national alliances on local preferences. This dynamic leaves room for late campaign developments, turnout shifts, or economic factors to influence first-round outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes