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Bahia Governor Election Winner

icon for Bahia Governor Election Winner

Bahia Governor Election Winner

ACM Neto 53%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%

José Carlos Aleluia <1%

Kleber Rosa <1%

Polymarket

$32,753 Vol.

ACM Neto 53%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%

José Carlos Aleluia <1%

Kleber Rosa <1%

Polymarket

$32,753 Vol.

icon for ACM Neto

ACM Neto

$9,636 Vol.

53%

icon for Jerônimo Rodrigues

Jerônimo Rodrigues

$9,811 Vol.

46%

icon for José Carlos Aleluia

José Carlos Aleluia

$3,671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kleber Rosa

Kleber Rosa

$3,451 Vol.

<1%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$2,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruno Soares Reis

Bruno Soares Reis

$2,173 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$1,935 Vol.

<1%

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) defending his record against challenger ACM Neto (UNIÃO) in the October 4, 2026 election, with a possible runoff. Rodrigues maintains approval ratings near 56-61 percent, buoyed by voter perceptions of progress on education and infrastructure, while national shifts—including UNIÃO's 2025 break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs—have energized opposition support in urban centers like Salvador. Recent state polls reflect a technical tie or narrow margins, with ACM Neto holding slight edges in some surveys and Rodrigues leading in others, reflecting divided voter blocs and the impact of national alliances on local preferences. This dynamic leaves room for late campaign developments, turnout shifts, or economic factors to influence first-round outcomes.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$32,753
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) defending his record against challenger ACM Neto (UNIÃO) in the October 4, 2026 election, with a possible runoff. Rodrigues maintains approval ratings near 56-61 percent, buoyed by voter perceptions of progress on education and infrastructure, while national shifts—including UNIÃO's 2025 break from the Lula administration and ACM Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs—have energized opposition support in urban centers like Salvador. Recent state polls reflect a technical tie or narrow margins, with ACM Neto holding slight edges in some surveys and Rodrigues leading in others, reflecting divided voter blocs and the impact of national alliances on local preferences. This dynamic leaves room for late campaign developments, turnout shifts, or economic factors to influence first-round outcomes.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$32,753
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Bahia Governor Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "ACM Neto" con 53%, seguido de "Jerônimo Rodrigues" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Bahia Governor Election Winner" ha generado $32.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Bahia Governor Election Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Bahia Governor Election Winner" es "ACM Neto" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jerônimo Rodrigues" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Bahia Governor Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.