Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and consistent electoral history underpin the 95% trader consensus for a GOP winner in the open 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Tommy Tuberville's decision to seek the governorship created the vacancy, drawing a competitive Republican primary field that advanced Rep. Barry Moore and businessman Jared Hudson to a June 16 runoff after the May vote. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominees emerging from their parallel runoff face structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as a major nominee scandal or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,439 Vol.
$10,439 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Demócrata
6%
$10,439 Vol.
$10,439 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$6,463 Vol.
95%
Demócrata
$3,976 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and consistent electoral history underpin the 95% trader consensus for a GOP winner in the open 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Tommy Tuberville's decision to seek the governorship created the vacancy, drawing a competitive Republican primary field that advanced Rep. Barry Moore and businessman Jared Hudson to a June 16 runoff after the May vote. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominees emerging from their parallel runoff face structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as a major nominee scandal or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$10,439Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and consistent electoral history underpin the 95% trader consensus for a GOP winner in the open 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Tommy Tuberville's decision to seek the governorship created the vacancy, drawing a competitive Republican primary field that advanced Rep. Barry Moore and businessman Jared Hudson to a June 16 runoff after the May vote. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominees emerging from their parallel runoff face structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as a major nominee scandal or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,439Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's solidly Republican electorate and consistent electoral history underpin the 95% trader consensus for a GOP winner in the open 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Tommy Tuberville's decision to seek the governorship created the vacancy, drawing a competitive Republican primary field that advanced Rep. Barry Moore and businessman Jared Hudson to a June 16 runoff after the May vote. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominees emerging from their parallel runoff face structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as a major nominee scandal or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited scope for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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