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Política·Corea Del Sur

2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

icon for 2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
Política·Corea Del Sur

2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Chun Jae-soo <5% 99.3%

Park Heong-joon 5-10% 1.7%

Chun Jae-soo 15%+ <1%

Park Heong-joon 10%+ <1%

Polymarket

$7,433 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo <5% 99.3%

Park Heong-joon 5-10% 1.7%

Chun Jae-soo 15%+ <1%

Park Heong-joon 10%+ <1%

Polymarket

$7,433 Vol.

icon for Chun Jae-soo 15%+

Chun Jae-soo 15%+

$622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chun Jae-soo 10-15%

Chun Jae-soo 10-15%

$412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chun Jae-soo 5-10%

Chun Jae-soo 5-10%

$1,718 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chun Jae-soo <5%

Chun Jae-soo <5%

$2,550 Vol.

99%

icon for Park Heong-joon <5%

Park Heong-joon <5%

$1,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Park Heong-joon 5-10%

Park Heong-joon 5-10%

$492 Vol.

2%

icon for Park Heong-joon 10%+

Park Heong-joon 10%+

$460 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Chun Jae-soo of South Korea's ruling Democratic Party defeated incumbent Park Heong-joon of the People Power Party in the June 3, 2026 local elections for Busan mayor, securing roughly 50.5 percent of the vote to Park's 47.9 percent for a margin below 5 percent. This outcome reflects the Democratic Party's broader gains in the nationwide local contests, driven by voter support for President Lee Jae Myung's administration and its policy focus on maritime and economic development in the city. The narrow result underscores Busan's status as a competitive battleground despite its conservative leanings, with turnout near 62 percent and limited third-party impact. Trader consensus on a sub-5 percent Chun margin aligns with final vote tallies, though any delayed certification or recount procedures could still affect precise resolution timing.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$7,433
Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 8:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Chun Jae-soo of South Korea's ruling Democratic Party defeated incumbent Park Heong-joon of the People Power Party in the June 3, 2026 local elections for Busan mayor, securing roughly 50.5 percent of the vote to Park's 47.9 percent for a margin below 5 percent. This outcome reflects the Democratic Party's broader gains in the nationwide local contests, driven by voter support for President Lee Jae Myung's administration and its policy focus on maritime and economic development in the city. The narrow result underscores Busan's status as a competitive battleground despite its conservative leanings, with turnout near 62 percent and limited third-party impact. Trader consensus on a sub-5 percent Chun margin aligns with final vote tallies, though any delayed certification or recount procedures could still affect precise resolution timing.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$7,433
Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 8:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chun Jae-soo <5%" con 99%, seguido de "Park Heong-joon 5-10%" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory" es "Chun Jae-soo <5%" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Park Heong-joon 5-10%" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "2026 Busan Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.