Missouri voters ratified a constitutional reproductive freedom amendment in 2024 that protects abortion access through viability. Amendment 3, scheduled for the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal that provision, impose near-total abortion limits with narrow exceptions, require parental consent for minors, and embed a prohibition on gender transition procedures for those under 18. An organized opposition campaign launched in late May 2026 and legal challenges to ballot language were resolved earlier, yet recent polling indicates the combined measure faces significant resistance despite broad support for the minors’ care restriction. With five months until the vote and active mobilization against repealing voter-approved rights, trader consensus assigns an 85.5% probability that the amendment will not pass.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Missouri voters ratified a constitutional reproductive freedom amendment in 2024 that protects abortion access through viability. Amendment 3, scheduled for the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal that provision, impose near-total abortion limits with narrow exceptions, require parental consent for minors, and embed a prohibition on gender transition procedures for those under 18. An organized opposition campaign launched in late May 2026 and legal challenges to ballot language were resolved earlier, yet recent polling indicates the combined measure faces significant resistance despite broad support for the minors’ care restriction. With five months until the vote and active mobilization against repealing voter-approved rights, trader consensus assigns an 85.5% probability that the amendment will not pass.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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