US national average regular gasoline prices reached $4.30 per gallon on April 30, the highest in four years according to AAA data, up nearly 30 cents from a week prior and reflecting trader focus on recent crude oil spikes above $120 per barrel. Escalating US-Iran conflict has disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, gridlocking supply amid stalled peace talks and heightened Middle East risks, while seasonal summer driving demand and tight refinery capacity amplify pressures. With the market resolving on today's AAA reading—first two decimal places—final confirmation hinges on official updates, though geopolitical de-escalation or resolved blockades could temper volatility post-April.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$488,624 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
1%
↑ $4.75
1%
↑ $4.50
1%
↓ $3.95
1%
↓ $3.85
<1%
↓ $3.75
<1%
↓ $3.50
<1%
↓ $3.25
<1%
↓ $3.00
<1%
$488,624 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$72,038 Vol.
1%
↑ $4.75
$47,625 Vol.
1%
↑ $4.50
$40,692 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.95
$21,344 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.85
$18,806 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.75
$11,375 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.50
$4,799 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.25
$2,604 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.00
$7,146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline prices reached $4.30 per gallon on April 30, the highest in four years according to AAA data, up nearly 30 cents from a week prior and reflecting trader focus on recent crude oil spikes above $120 per barrel. Escalating US-Iran conflict has disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, gridlocking supply amid stalled peace talks and heightened Middle East risks, while seasonal summer driving demand and tight refinery capacity amplify pressures. With the market resolving on today's AAA reading—first two decimal places—final confirmation hinges on official updates, though geopolitical de-escalation or resolved blockades could temper volatility post-April.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$488,624End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline prices reached $4.30 per gallon on April 30, the highest in four years according to AAA data, up nearly 30 cents from a week prior and reflecting trader focus on recent crude oil spikes above $120 per barrel. Escalating US-Iran conflict has disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, gridlocking supply amid stalled peace talks and heightened Middle East risks, while seasonal summer driving demand and tight refinery capacity amplify pressures. With the market resolving on today's AAA reading—first two decimal places—final confirmation hinges on official updates, though geopolitical de-escalation or resolved blockades could temper volatility post-April.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$488,624End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
US national average regular gasoline prices reached $4.30 per gallon on April 30, the highest in four years according to AAA data, up nearly 30 cents from a week prior and reflecting trader focus on recent crude oil spikes above $120 per barrel. Escalating US-Iran conflict has disrupted oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, gridlocking supply amid stalled peace talks and heightened Middle East risks, while seasonal summer driving demand and tight refinery capacity amplify pressures. With the market resolving on today's AAA reading—first two decimal places—final confirmation hinges on official updates, though geopolitical de-escalation or resolved blockades could temper volatility post-April.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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