BRICS members show no signs of departure ahead of 2026, supporting the 85.5% trader consensus against an exit. India assumed the rotating chairmanship in January 2026, launching an official theme and website focused on sustainability, resilience, and cooperation while hosting scheduled ministerial and sherpa meetings. Recent expansion added Indonesia as a full member in early 2025, with partner countries designated and further applicants under review, though Russia has urged caution on rapid growth. Internal frictions over naval exercises, Iran-related tensions, and U.S. tariff pressures have prompted selective participation by some founders, yet these have produced no formal withdrawal threats or diplomatic ruptures. Historical precedent for exits from similar intergovernmental forums remains low absent major leadership or policy reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BRICS members show no signs of departure ahead of 2026, supporting the 85.5% trader consensus against an exit. India assumed the rotating chairmanship in January 2026, launching an official theme and website focused on sustainability, resilience, and cooperation while hosting scheduled ministerial and sherpa meetings. Recent expansion added Indonesia as a full member in early 2025, with partner countries designated and further applicants under review, though Russia has urged caution on rapid growth. Internal frictions over naval exercises, Iran-related tensions, and U.S. tariff pressures have prompted selective participation by some founders, yet these have produced no formal withdrawal threats or diplomatic ruptures. Historical precedent for exits from similar intergovernmental forums remains low absent major leadership or policy reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$63,863End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BRICS members show no signs of departure ahead of 2026, supporting the 85.5% trader consensus against an exit. India assumed the rotating chairmanship in January 2026, launching an official theme and website focused on sustainability, resilience, and cooperation while hosting scheduled ministerial and sherpa meetings. Recent expansion added Indonesia as a full member in early 2025, with partner countries designated and further applicants under review, though Russia has urged caution on rapid growth. Internal frictions over naval exercises, Iran-related tensions, and U.S. tariff pressures have prompted selective participation by some founders, yet these have produced no formal withdrawal threats or diplomatic ruptures. Historical precedent for exits from similar intergovernmental forums remains low absent major leadership or policy reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,863End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...BRICS members show no signs of departure ahead of 2026, supporting the 85.5% trader consensus against an exit. India assumed the rotating chairmanship in January 2026, launching an official theme and website focused on sustainability, resilience, and cooperation while hosting scheduled ministerial and sherpa meetings. Recent expansion added Indonesia as a full member in early 2025, with partner countries designated and further applicants under review, though Russia has urged caution on rapid growth. Internal frictions over naval exercises, Iran-related tensions, and U.S. tariff pressures have prompted selective participation by some founders, yet these have produced no formal withdrawal threats or diplomatic ruptures. Historical precedent for exits from similar intergovernmental forums remains low absent major leadership or policy reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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