President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26—verified by credible reporting and public announcements—has propelled her outcome to near-certainty at 99.9% trader consensus, dominating the multi-outcome market on potential April diplomatic interactions. Amid U.S. foreign policy pressures from the Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Ukraine war, low probabilities persist for other listed figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy (9%), Xi Jinping (2%), or Elon Musk (7%), reflecting no reported verbal communications, meetings, or video calls by April 30. A fresh April 29 call with Vladimir Putin on ceasefires does not affect outcomes, as he is unlisted. The market resolves tonight at 11:59 PM ET via reporting consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,835,619 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Elon Musk
3%

Reza Pahlavi
2%

Pope Leo XIV
2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%

Xi Jinping
1%

Maria Corina Machado
1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%

Lula da Silva
1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$1,835,619 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Elon Musk
3%

Reza Pahlavi
2%

Pope Leo XIV
2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%

Xi Jinping
1%

Maria Corina Machado
1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%

Lula da Silva
1%

Masoud Pezeshkian
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26—verified by credible reporting and public announcements—has propelled her outcome to near-certainty at 99.9% trader consensus, dominating the multi-outcome market on potential April diplomatic interactions. Amid U.S. foreign policy pressures from the Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Ukraine war, low probabilities persist for other listed figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy (9%), Xi Jinping (2%), or Elon Musk (7%), reflecting no reported verbal communications, meetings, or video calls by April 30. A fresh April 29 call with Vladimir Putin on ceasefires does not affect outcomes, as he is unlisted. The market resolves tonight at 11:59 PM ET via reporting consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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