US-Iran diplomatic negotiations remain stalled following the collapse of indirect talks hosted by Pakistan in Islamabad earlier this month, with no date set for the next round amid mutual recriminations over a ceasefire to end the Strait of Hormuz blockade and broader de-escalation. The first session on April 11-12 featured a US delegation led by Vice President JD Vance alongside special envoy Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner, facing Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A planned second round involving Witkoff and Kushner was cancelled by President Trump on April 25 after Tehran rejected direct meetings. Iran submitted a new de-escalation proposal on April 28 without nuclear curbs, drawing US skepticism and accusations of stalling from allies like Germany; ongoing mediation efforts via Pakistan could shape future attendees and format.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,094,615 Vol.
Donald Trump
2%
Marco Rubio
6%
J.D. Vance
43%
Jared Kushner
62%
Steve Witkoff
63%
$1,094,615 Vol.
Donald Trump
2%
Marco Rubio
6%
J.D. Vance
43%
Jared Kushner
62%
Steve Witkoff
63%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic negotiations remain stalled following the collapse of indirect talks hosted by Pakistan in Islamabad earlier this month, with no date set for the next round amid mutual recriminations over a ceasefire to end the Strait of Hormuz blockade and broader de-escalation. The first session on April 11-12 featured a US delegation led by Vice President JD Vance alongside special envoy Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner, facing Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A planned second round involving Witkoff and Kushner was cancelled by President Trump on April 25 after Tehran rejected direct meetings. Iran submitted a new de-escalation proposal on April 28 without nuclear curbs, drawing US skepticism and accusations of stalling from allies like Germany; ongoing mediation efforts via Pakistan could shape future attendees and format.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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