Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 59.5% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by the absence of any official announcement despite recent confidential SEC filings signaling a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. Speculation intensified after Tuttle Capital relinquished the $SPCX ticker in early April, positioning it as a frontrunner under "Other" amid social media hype and Reddit discussions. $X holds steady at 33.5% due to Elon Musk's consistent "X" branding across Tesla, xAI, and X platform ventures, though odds have softened from prior peaks. Lower-probability outcomes like $SPAX reflect meme-driven bets. Traders await the S-1 filing for clarity, with resolution hinging on SEC approval timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOther (incl $SPCX) 59.5%
$X 35%
$SEX 1.3%
$SPAX 1.3%
$5,414,204 Vol.
$5,414,204 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Other (incl $SPCX)
60%
$X
35%
$SEX
1%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
Other (incl $SPCX) 59.5%
$X 35%
$SEX 1.3%
$SPAX 1.3%
$5,414,204 Vol.
$5,414,204 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Other (incl $SPCX)
$235,847 Vol.
60%
$X
$556,574 Vol.
35%
$SEX
$1,421,741 Vol.
1%
$SPAX
$437,189 Vol.
1%
$SPACE
$632,924 Vol.
1%
$SX
$393,076 Vol.
1%
$STAR
$846,100 Vol.
1%
$MARS
$310,432 Vol.
<1%
$SPC
$580,320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 59.5% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by the absence of any official announcement despite recent confidential SEC filings signaling a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. Speculation intensified after Tuttle Capital relinquished the $SPCX ticker in early April, positioning it as a frontrunner under "Other" amid social media hype and Reddit discussions. $X holds steady at 33.5% due to Elon Musk's consistent "X" branding across Tesla, xAI, and X platform ventures, though odds have softened from prior peaks. Lower-probability outcomes like $SPAX reflect meme-driven bets. Traders await the S-1 filing for clarity, with resolution hinging on SEC approval timelines.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$5,414,204End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 59.5% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by the absence of any official announcement despite recent confidential SEC filings signaling a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. Speculation intensified after Tuttle Capital relinquished the $SPCX ticker in early April, positioning it as a frontrunner under "Other" amid social media hype and Reddit discussions. $X holds steady at 33.5% due to Elon Musk's consistent "X" branding across Tesla, xAI, and X platform ventures, though odds have softened from prior peaks. Lower-probability outcomes like $SPAX reflect meme-driven bets. Traders await the S-1 filing for clarity, with resolution hinging on SEC approval timelines.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$5,414,204End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 59.5% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by the absence of any official announcement despite recent confidential SEC filings signaling a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. Speculation intensified after Tuttle Capital relinquished the $SPCX ticker in early April, positioning it as a frontrunner under "Other" amid social media hype and Reddit discussions. $X holds steady at 33.5% due to Elon Musk's consistent "X" branding across Tesla, xAI, and X platform ventures, though odds have softened from prior peaks. Lower-probability outcomes like $SPAX reflect meme-driven bets. Traders await the S-1 filing for clarity, with resolution hinging on SEC approval timelines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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