Andrea Martella's 65% implied probability as Venice mayoral winner reflects trader consensus on his center-left coalition's polling edge over center-right challenger Simone Venturini (35%), following a Tecnè survey last week showing Martella at 48% to Venturini's 42% among decided voters—a reversal from earlier surveys favoring Venturini. Dissatisfaction with outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration runs high, with 62% of residents rating it poorly amid priorities like cost of living, housing shortages, and urban decay. Martella's recent housing plan and commerce proposals have bolstered his lead, while Venturini courts disillusioned voters. The first-round vote on May 24-25 likely heads to a runoff between the top two under Italy's two-round municipal system; Michele Boldrin trails as a fringe independent economist. Late shifts remain possible with undecideds at 10%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 65%
Simone Venturini 35%
Michele Boldrin 2.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$47,786 Vol.
$47,786 Vol.

Andrea Martella
65%

Simone Venturini
35%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 65%
Simone Venturini 35%
Michele Boldrin 2.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$47,786 Vol.
$47,786 Vol.

Andrea Martella
65%

Simone Venturini
35%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrea Martella's 65% implied probability as Venice mayoral winner reflects trader consensus on his center-left coalition's polling edge over center-right challenger Simone Venturini (35%), following a Tecnè survey last week showing Martella at 48% to Venturini's 42% among decided voters—a reversal from earlier surveys favoring Venturini. Dissatisfaction with outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's administration runs high, with 62% of residents rating it poorly amid priorities like cost of living, housing shortages, and urban decay. Martella's recent housing plan and commerce proposals have bolstered his lead, while Venturini courts disillusioned voters. The first-round vote on May 24-25 likely heads to a runoff between the top two under Italy's two-round municipal system; Michele Boldrin trails as a fringe independent economist. Late shifts remain possible with undecideds at 10%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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