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Elections·Primaries

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-19 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

Tom Sell 90.3%

Abraham Enriquez 7.4%

Donald May <1%

Matthew Smith <1%

Polymarket

$70,531 Vol.

Tom Sell 90.3%

Abraham Enriquez 7.4%

Donald May <1%

Matthew Smith <1%

Polymarket

$70,531 Vol.

Tom Sell

$45,844 Vol.

90%

Abraham Enriquez

$10,857 Vol.

7%

Donald May

$3,809 Vol.

1%

Matthew Smith

$3,156 Vol.

1%

Jason Corley

$1,737 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Zink

$1,738 Vol.

<1%

James Barbee

$3,390 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Tom Sell commands 90.5% trader consensus to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his commanding 40% first-place finish in the crowded March 3 primary, capturing broad support in this rural West Texas district as a local businessman and ag policy expert succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington.** Recent endorsements from state Rep. Carl Tepper and several eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith bolster his momentum, alongside a fundraising lead and an internal poll showing a 57-17 edge over Abraham Enriquez. Enriquez, at 10.1%, banks on Trump-style appeals but awaits a potential presidential nod. Shifts could stem from a late Trump endorsement, Enriquez's ground game in low-turnout runoffs, or the May 12 debate outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,531
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Tom Sell commands 90.5% trader consensus to win the TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his commanding 40% first-place finish in the crowded March 3 primary, capturing broad support in this rural West Texas district as a local businessman and ag policy expert succeeding retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington.** Recent endorsements from state Rep. Carl Tepper and several eliminated candidates like Matthew Smith bolster his momentum, alongside a fundraising lead and an internal poll showing a 57-17 edge over Abraham Enriquez. Enriquez, at 10.1%, banks on Trump-style appeals but awaits a potential presidential nod. Shifts could stem from a late Trump endorsement, Enriquez's ground game in low-turnout runoffs, or the May 12 debate outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,531
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Sell" at 90%, followed by "Abraham Enriquez" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $70.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" is "Tom Sell" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abraham Enriquez" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-19 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.