Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, driven by consistent polling leads, including a mid-April Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters—an 11-point edge. Bradford, a city councillor who officially registered yesterday as nominations opened, trails at 15% amid his push for change on issues like transit and taxes, while former councillor Ana Bailão holds 7% on name recognition from the 2023 by-election. John Tory's earlier decision not to run bolstered Chow's position, though voter sentiment on housing costs and the island airport expansion could shift dynamics in the coming months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOlivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 15%
Ana Bailão 7.1%
Michael Ford 1.1%
$18,695 Vol.
$18,695 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
15%
Ana Bailão
7%
Michael Ford
1%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 15%
Ana Bailão 7.1%
Michael Ford 1.1%
$18,695 Vol.
$18,695 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Olivia Chow
$5,096 Vol.
77%
Brad Bradford
$4,739 Vol.
15%
Ana Bailão
$2,577 Vol.
7%
Michael Ford
$1,654 Vol.
1%
Kevin Clarke
$1,344 Vol.
1%
Anthony Furey
$1,115 Vol.
1%
Marco Mendicino
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
John Tory
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, driven by consistent polling leads, including a mid-April Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters—an 11-point edge. Bradford, a city councillor who officially registered yesterday as nominations opened, trails at 15% amid his push for change on issues like transit and taxes, while former councillor Ana Bailão holds 7% on name recognition from the 2023 by-election. John Tory's earlier decision not to run bolstered Chow's position, though voter sentiment on housing costs and the island airport expansion could shift dynamics in the coming months.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$18,695End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, driven by consistent polling leads, including a mid-April Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters—an 11-point edge. Bradford, a city councillor who officially registered yesterday as nominations opened, trails at 15% amid his push for change on issues like transit and taxes, while former councillor Ana Bailão holds 7% on name recognition from the 2023 by-election. John Tory's earlier decision not to run bolstered Chow's position, though voter sentiment on housing costs and the island airport expansion could shift dynamics in the coming months.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$18,695End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, driven by consistent polling leads, including a mid-April Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters—an 11-point edge. Bradford, a city councillor who officially registered yesterday as nominations opened, trails at 15% amid his push for change on issues like transit and taxes, while former councillor Ana Bailão holds 7% on name recognition from the 2023 by-election. John Tory's earlier decision not to run bolstered Chow's position, though voter sentiment on housing costs and the island airport expansion could shift dynamics in the coming months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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