This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus favors Attorney General Ken Paxton at 58.5% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 42.5%, reflecting Paxton's momentum from recent polls like the April TPOR survey showing him ahead 48%-40% among likely voters. Both advanced from the March 3 primary without a majority, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's voters now breaking 45%-32% for Paxton. Cornyn holds a fundraising edge with over $8 million cash on hand versus Paxton's grassroots support, but President Trump's decision to stay neutral has amplified base enthusiasm for Paxton amid GOP factional tensions. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after elimination.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus favors Attorney General Ken Paxton at 58.5% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 42.5%, reflecting Paxton's momentum from recent polls like the April TPOR survey showing him ahead 48%-40% among likely voters. Both advanced from the March 3 primary without a majority, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's voters now breaking 45%-32% for Paxton. Cornyn holds a fundraising edge with over $8 million cash on hand versus Paxton's grassroots support, but President Trump's decision to stay neutral has amplified base enthusiasm for Paxton amid GOP factional tensions. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after elimination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Apr 30 2026
Paxton maintains a lead in the runoff race against Cornyn, with ongoing campaign efforts and voter mobilization shaping market confidence in his nomination chances[].
Ken Paxton drops to 57%5%
Paxton maintains a lead in the runoff race against Cornyn, with ongoing campaign efforts and voter mobilization shaping market confidence in his nomination chances[].
Apr 16 2026
Cornyn announces nearly $9 million fundraising haul in Q1 2026, demonstrating strong campaign momentum before runoff
Robust fundraising reinforced Cornyn’s viability as the runoff approached, stabilizing his market
Apr 7 2026
Ken Paxton attacks Cornyn for vacationing instead of advancing Trump’s agenda in a new ad, escalating tensions ahead of runoff
John Cornyn rises to 42%3%
Paxton’s criticism and Cornyn’s fundraising announcement kept the race competitive, with slight market recovery for Cornyn.
Mar 11 2026
Cornyn campaign releases ad attacking Ken Paxton’s office controversies, intensifying the runoff battle
John Cornyn plunges to 39%17%
Negative campaigning highlighted vulnerabilities, leading to a market correction.
Mar 4 2026
Donald Trump announces he will soon endorse in the runoff between Cornyn and Paxton, adding national attention to the race
John Cornyn plunges to 56%23%
Trump’s delayed endorsement created uncertainty, causing a market pullback.
Mar 3 2026
Texas Republican primary held; Paxton and Cornyn advance to runoff after neither secures 50%, confirming Paxton’s strong position but also signaling a competitive race ahead[].
Ken Paxton plunges to 21%62%
Texas Republican primary held; Paxton and Cornyn advance to runoff after neither secures 50%, confirming Paxton’s strong position but also signaling a competitive race ahead[].
Mar 3 2026
Texas Republican primary results: Cornyn leads with 42%, Paxton close behind, forcing a runoff
John Cornyn surges to 79%63%
Cornyn’s strong primary showing sharply increased market confidence in his eventual nomination.
Feb 21 2026
Cornyn’s support hits a low of 16% amid rising attacks and Paxton’s aggressive campaign tactics
John Cornyn plunges to 16%18%
Paxton’s campaign linked Cornyn to the “DC establishment,” eroding confidence in Cornyn’s primary prospects.
Feb 17 2026
Ken Paxton launches Texas-First Victory Tour for his Senate campaign, rallying grassroots conservatives and emphasizing his record defending Texas sovereignty, boosting campaign
Ken Paxton surges to 83%33%
Ken Paxton launches Texas-First Victory Tour for his Senate campaign, rallying grassroots conservatives and emphasizing his record defending Texas sovereignty, boosting campaign momentum ahead of the March primary[].
Feb 7 2026
Polling and reports indicate Hunt's support wanes as Cornyn narrows the gap with Paxton, and Hunt struggles to expand beyond his Houston base, leading to a sharp decline in market
Wesley Hunt drops to 4%9%
Polling and reports indicate Hunt's support wanes as Cornyn narrows the gap with Paxton, and Hunt struggles to expand beyond his Houston base, leading to a sharp decline in market confidence
Dec 9 2025
Hunt's campaign launches a second statewide TV ad portraying him as the strongest Trump ally, attempting to regain momentum and appeal to the conservative base amid a tightening
Wesley Hunt jumps to 19%7%
Hunt's campaign launches a second statewide TV ad portraying him as the strongest Trump ally, attempting to regain momentum and appeal to the conservative base amid a tightening race
Dec 8 2025
Democrat Colin Allred drops out of the Senate race, aiming to avoid a bruising primary and unify Democrats, potentially improving Paxton’s general election prospects by reducing
Ken Paxton surges to 59%16%
Democrat Colin Allred drops out of the Senate race, aiming to avoid a bruising primary and unify Democrats, potentially improving Paxton’s general election prospects by reducing Democratic primary uncertainty[].
Nov 25 2025
Wesley Hunt files official paperwork for the Senate race, solidifying his candidacy amid growing GOP leadership pressure to drop out to avoid splitting the vote, but Hunt doubles
Wesley Hunt jumps to 15%8%
Wesley Hunt files official paperwork for the Senate race, solidifying his candidacy amid growing GOP leadership pressure to drop out to avoid splitting the vote, but Hunt doubles down on his insurgent campaign strategy
Nov 23 2025
Reports emerge of GOP leaders publicly urging Hunt to exit the race, warning his continued campaign risks costly runoff and jeopardizes the party's Senate majority, increasing
Wesley Hunt dips to 12%3%
Reports emerge of GOP leaders publicly urging Hunt to exit the race, warning his continued campaign risks costly runoff and jeopardizes the party's Senate majority, increasing uncertainty about his viability
Oct 15 2025
Report reveals Cornyn’s substantial fundraising lead over Paxton and Hunt, with $50 million spent by satellite groups supporting him
Multiple reports highlight Hunt's campaign launch emphasizing his military record and conservative credentials, while GOP establishment and Cornyn's camp criticize his entry as a
Wesley Hunt dips to 7%3%
Multiple reports highlight Hunt's campaign launch emphasizing his military record and conservative credentials, while GOP establishment and Cornyn's camp criticize his entry as a spoiler, signaling early resistance from party leadership
Oct 6 2025
Rep. Wesley Hunt officially announces his U.S.
Wesley Hunt plunges to 10%40%
Senate bid in Texas, joining incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton in a heated GOP primary, shaking up the race and initially boosting his profile statewide
Oct 6 2025
U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt enters the Senate race, increasing the likelihood of a runoff and complicating Cornyn’s path
John Cornyn jumps to 32%11%
Hunt’s entry fragmented the anti-Paxton vote, briefly boosting Cornyn’s chances as the race became a three-way contest.
Sep 17 2025
Media organizations file to unseal Paxton’s divorce records, arguing public interest due to Paxton’s elected status and ongoing Senate campaign, increasing scrutiny on Paxton’s
Ken Paxton drops to 48%11%
Media organizations file to unseal Paxton’s divorce records, arguing public interest due to Paxton’s elected status and ongoing Senate campaign, increasing scrutiny on Paxton’s personal and financial conduct[].
Aug 21 2025
U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, former Paxton aide turned critic, announces run for Texas Attorney General, the seat Paxton vacates to run for Senate, signaling a competitive GOP primary
Ken Paxton drops to 59%6%
U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, former Paxton aide turned critic, announces run for Texas Attorney General, the seat Paxton vacates to run for Senate, signaling a competitive GOP primary environment and internal party challenges[].
Jul 28 2025
Texas Alliance for Life Fed PAC endorses John Cornyn for re-election, highlighting his pro-life record and judicial confirmations
John Cornyn dips to 32%1%
This endorsement reinforced Cornyn’s conservative credentials but had limited immediate market impact.
Jul 16 2025
Court seals Paxton’s divorce records after initial filing, limiting public access to details and temporarily containing fallout from the scandal[].
Ken Paxton drops to 65%9%
Court seals Paxton’s divorce records after initial filing, limiting public access to details and temporarily containing fallout from the scandal[].
Jul 10 2025
Angela Paxton, Ken Paxton’s wife and Texas State Senator, files for divorce citing adultery and separation since June 2024, introducing personal scandal that could impact Paxton’s
Ken Paxton jumps to 74%13%
Angela Paxton, Ken Paxton’s wife and Texas State Senator, files for divorce citing adultery and separation since June 2024, introducing personal scandal that could impact Paxton’s campaign[].
Jul 1 2025
Democrat Colin Allred enters the U.S.
Ken Paxton jumps to 61%11%
Senate race, positioning himself against either Cornyn or Paxton, increasing pressure on the Republican primary and highlighting Paxton as a main challenger[].
Apr 8 2025
Ken Paxton announces U.S. Senate candidacy on Fox News, challenging incumbent John Cornyn, emphasizing conservative values and support for Trump, marking the start of his primary
Ken Paxton jumps to 57%7%
Ken Paxton announces U.S. Senate candidacy on Fox News, challenging incumbent John Cornyn, emphasizing conservative values and support for Trump, marking the start of his primary campaign[].
Mar 30 2025
John Cornyn officially kicks off his re-election campaign as Ken Paxton weighs a primary challenge, signaling the start of a competitive race
John Cornyn plunges to 34%16%
Cornyn’s early campaign launch was met with skepticism due to Paxton’s potential challenge, causing initial
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus favors Attorney General Ken Paxton at 58.5% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 42.5%, reflecting Paxton's momentum from recent polls like the April TPOR survey showing him ahead 48%-40% among likely voters. Both advanced from the March 3 primary without a majority, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's voters now breaking 45%-32% for Paxton. Cornyn holds a fundraising edge with over $8 million cash on hand versus Paxton's grassroots support, but President Trump's decision to stay neutral has amplified base enthusiasm for Paxton amid GOP factional tensions. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after elimination.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus favors Attorney General Ken Paxton at 58.5% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 42.5%, reflecting Paxton's momentum from recent polls like the April TPOR survey showing him ahead 48%-40% among likely voters. Both advanced from the March 3 primary without a majority, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's voters now breaking 45%-32% for Paxton. Cornyn holds a fundraising edge with over $8 million cash on hand versus Paxton's grassroots support, but President Trump's decision to stay neutral has amplified base enthusiasm for Paxton amid GOP factional tensions. Other candidates trail at negligible odds after elimination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Apr 30 2026
Paxton maintains a lead in the runoff race against Cornyn, with ongoing campaign efforts and voter mobilization shaping market confidence in his nomination chances[].
Ken Paxton drops to 57%5%
Paxton maintains a lead in the runoff race against Cornyn, with ongoing campaign efforts and voter mobilization shaping market confidence in his nomination chances[].
Apr 16 2026
Cornyn announces nearly $9 million fundraising haul in Q1 2026, demonstrating strong campaign momentum before runoff
Robust fundraising reinforced Cornyn’s viability as the runoff approached, stabilizing his market
Apr 7 2026
Ken Paxton attacks Cornyn for vacationing instead of advancing Trump’s agenda in a new ad, escalating tensions ahead of runoff
John Cornyn rises to 42%3%
Paxton’s criticism and Cornyn’s fundraising announcement kept the race competitive, with slight market recovery for Cornyn.
Mar 11 2026
Cornyn campaign releases ad attacking Ken Paxton’s office controversies, intensifying the runoff battle
John Cornyn plunges to 39%17%
Negative campaigning highlighted vulnerabilities, leading to a market correction.
Mar 4 2026
Donald Trump announces he will soon endorse in the runoff between Cornyn and Paxton, adding national attention to the race
John Cornyn plunges to 56%23%
Trump’s delayed endorsement created uncertainty, causing a market pullback.
Mar 3 2026
Texas Republican primary held; Paxton and Cornyn advance to runoff after neither secures 50%, confirming Paxton’s strong position but also signaling a competitive race ahead[].
Ken Paxton plunges to 21%62%
Texas Republican primary held; Paxton and Cornyn advance to runoff after neither secures 50%, confirming Paxton’s strong position but also signaling a competitive race ahead[].
Mar 3 2026
Texas Republican primary results: Cornyn leads with 42%, Paxton close behind, forcing a runoff
John Cornyn surges to 79%63%
Cornyn’s strong primary showing sharply increased market confidence in his eventual nomination.
Feb 21 2026
Cornyn’s support hits a low of 16% amid rising attacks and Paxton’s aggressive campaign tactics
John Cornyn plunges to 16%18%
Paxton’s campaign linked Cornyn to the “DC establishment,” eroding confidence in Cornyn’s primary prospects.
Feb 17 2026
Ken Paxton launches Texas-First Victory Tour for his Senate campaign, rallying grassroots conservatives and emphasizing his record defending Texas sovereignty, boosting campaign
Ken Paxton surges to 83%33%
Ken Paxton launches Texas-First Victory Tour for his Senate campaign, rallying grassroots conservatives and emphasizing his record defending Texas sovereignty, boosting campaign momentum ahead of the March primary[].
Feb 7 2026
Polling and reports indicate Hunt's support wanes as Cornyn narrows the gap with Paxton, and Hunt struggles to expand beyond his Houston base, leading to a sharp decline in market
Wesley Hunt drops to 4%9%
Polling and reports indicate Hunt's support wanes as Cornyn narrows the gap with Paxton, and Hunt struggles to expand beyond his Houston base, leading to a sharp decline in market confidence
Dec 9 2025
Hunt's campaign launches a second statewide TV ad portraying him as the strongest Trump ally, attempting to regain momentum and appeal to the conservative base amid a tightening
Wesley Hunt jumps to 19%7%
Hunt's campaign launches a second statewide TV ad portraying him as the strongest Trump ally, attempting to regain momentum and appeal to the conservative base amid a tightening race
Dec 8 2025
Democrat Colin Allred drops out of the Senate race, aiming to avoid a bruising primary and unify Democrats, potentially improving Paxton’s general election prospects by reducing
Ken Paxton surges to 59%16%
Democrat Colin Allred drops out of the Senate race, aiming to avoid a bruising primary and unify Democrats, potentially improving Paxton’s general election prospects by reducing Democratic primary uncertainty[].
Nov 25 2025
Wesley Hunt files official paperwork for the Senate race, solidifying his candidacy amid growing GOP leadership pressure to drop out to avoid splitting the vote, but Hunt doubles
Wesley Hunt jumps to 15%8%
Wesley Hunt files official paperwork for the Senate race, solidifying his candidacy amid growing GOP leadership pressure to drop out to avoid splitting the vote, but Hunt doubles down on his insurgent campaign strategy
Nov 23 2025
Reports emerge of GOP leaders publicly urging Hunt to exit the race, warning his continued campaign risks costly runoff and jeopardizes the party's Senate majority, increasing
Wesley Hunt dips to 12%3%
Reports emerge of GOP leaders publicly urging Hunt to exit the race, warning his continued campaign risks costly runoff and jeopardizes the party's Senate majority, increasing uncertainty about his viability
Oct 15 2025
Report reveals Cornyn’s substantial fundraising lead over Paxton and Hunt, with $50 million spent by satellite groups supporting him
Multiple reports highlight Hunt's campaign launch emphasizing his military record and conservative credentials, while GOP establishment and Cornyn's camp criticize his entry as a
Wesley Hunt dips to 7%3%
Multiple reports highlight Hunt's campaign launch emphasizing his military record and conservative credentials, while GOP establishment and Cornyn's camp criticize his entry as a spoiler, signaling early resistance from party leadership
Oct 6 2025
Rep. Wesley Hunt officially announces his U.S.
Wesley Hunt plunges to 10%40%
Senate bid in Texas, joining incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton in a heated GOP primary, shaking up the race and initially boosting his profile statewide
Oct 6 2025
U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt enters the Senate race, increasing the likelihood of a runoff and complicating Cornyn’s path
John Cornyn jumps to 32%11%
Hunt’s entry fragmented the anti-Paxton vote, briefly boosting Cornyn’s chances as the race became a three-way contest.
Sep 17 2025
Media organizations file to unseal Paxton’s divorce records, arguing public interest due to Paxton’s elected status and ongoing Senate campaign, increasing scrutiny on Paxton’s
Ken Paxton drops to 48%11%
Media organizations file to unseal Paxton’s divorce records, arguing public interest due to Paxton’s elected status and ongoing Senate campaign, increasing scrutiny on Paxton’s personal and financial conduct[].
Aug 21 2025
U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, former Paxton aide turned critic, announces run for Texas Attorney General, the seat Paxton vacates to run for Senate, signaling a competitive GOP primary
Ken Paxton drops to 59%6%
U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, former Paxton aide turned critic, announces run for Texas Attorney General, the seat Paxton vacates to run for Senate, signaling a competitive GOP primary environment and internal party challenges[].
Jul 28 2025
Texas Alliance for Life Fed PAC endorses John Cornyn for re-election, highlighting his pro-life record and judicial confirmations
John Cornyn dips to 32%1%
This endorsement reinforced Cornyn’s conservative credentials but had limited immediate market impact.
Jul 16 2025
Court seals Paxton’s divorce records after initial filing, limiting public access to details and temporarily containing fallout from the scandal[].
Ken Paxton drops to 65%9%
Court seals Paxton’s divorce records after initial filing, limiting public access to details and temporarily containing fallout from the scandal[].
Jul 10 2025
Angela Paxton, Ken Paxton’s wife and Texas State Senator, files for divorce citing adultery and separation since June 2024, introducing personal scandal that could impact Paxton’s
Ken Paxton jumps to 74%13%
Angela Paxton, Ken Paxton’s wife and Texas State Senator, files for divorce citing adultery and separation since June 2024, introducing personal scandal that could impact Paxton’s campaign[].
Jul 1 2025
Democrat Colin Allred enters the U.S.
Ken Paxton jumps to 61%11%
Senate race, positioning himself against either Cornyn or Paxton, increasing pressure on the Republican primary and highlighting Paxton as a main challenger[].
Apr 8 2025
Ken Paxton announces U.S. Senate candidacy on Fox News, challenging incumbent John Cornyn, emphasizing conservative values and support for Trump, marking the start of his primary
Ken Paxton jumps to 57%7%
Ken Paxton announces U.S. Senate candidacy on Fox News, challenging incumbent John Cornyn, emphasizing conservative values and support for Trump, marking the start of his primary campaign[].
Mar 30 2025
John Cornyn officially kicks off his re-election campaign as Ken Paxton weighs a primary challenge, signaling the start of a competitive race
John Cornyn plunges to 34%16%
Cornyn’s early campaign launch was met with skepticism due to Paxton’s potential challenge, causing initial
"Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Paxton" at 58%, followed by "John Cornyn" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $15.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Ken Paxton" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Cornyn" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $15.9 million traded on “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 58¢ for "Ken Paxton" in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 58% chance that "Ken Paxton" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 58¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 42¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 26, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market has an active community of 111 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
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Frequently Asked Questions