Trader consensus favors Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1 at 58% implied probability, reflecting his steady historical rate of 8-12 posts per day amid routine Senate duties and podcast promotions like Verdict. Recent activity through April 30 shows consistent output, including multiple daily quote tweets on Democratic setbacks such as Maine Governor Janet Mills' Senate dropout, Ann Arbor's anti-crime sign removal, and FBI raids on fraudulent Somali facilities in Minneapolis, plus cultural nods like tributes to David Allan Coe. Prior resolved markets for similar 8-day windows, such as April 17-24, hovered around 100-120 posts, but traders now price a slightly tempered pace heading into May 1, with no major catalysts like hearings or campaigns altering volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTed Cruz # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
60-79 84%
80-99 8%
100-119 4.1%
180-199 1.9%
$17,915 Vol.
$17,915 Vol.
May 1, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
69%
80-99
8%
100-119
4%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
2%
200+
1%
60-79 84%
80-99 8%
100-119 4.1%
180-199 1.9%
$17,915 Vol.
$17,915 Vol.
May 1, 2026
40-59
$3,478 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$2,188 Vol.
69%
80-99
$1,550 Vol.
8%
100-119
$2,252 Vol.
4%
120-139
$804 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$1,609 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$1,567 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$1,608 Vol.
2%
200+
$1,216 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1 at 58% implied probability, reflecting his steady historical rate of 8-12 posts per day amid routine Senate duties and podcast promotions like Verdict. Recent activity through April 30 shows consistent output, including multiple daily quote tweets on Democratic setbacks such as Maine Governor Janet Mills' Senate dropout, Ann Arbor's anti-crime sign removal, and FBI raids on fraudulent Somali facilities in Minneapolis, plus cultural nods like tributes to David Allan Coe. Prior resolved markets for similar 8-day windows, such as April 17-24, hovered around 100-120 posts, but traders now price a slightly tempered pace heading into May 1, with no major catalysts like hearings or campaigns altering volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$17,915End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1 at 58% implied probability, reflecting his steady historical rate of 8-12 posts per day amid routine Senate duties and podcast promotions like Verdict. Recent activity through April 30 shows consistent output, including multiple daily quote tweets on Democratic setbacks such as Maine Governor Janet Mills' Senate dropout, Ann Arbor's anti-crime sign removal, and FBI raids on fraudulent Somali facilities in Minneapolis, plus cultural nods like tributes to David Allan Coe. Prior resolved markets for similar 8-day windows, such as April 17-24, hovered around 100-120 posts, but traders now price a slightly tempered pace heading into May 1, with no major catalysts like hearings or campaigns altering volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$17,915End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1 at 58% implied probability, reflecting his steady historical rate of 8-12 posts per day amid routine Senate duties and podcast promotions like Verdict. Recent activity through April 30 shows consistent output, including multiple daily quote tweets on Democratic setbacks such as Maine Governor Janet Mills' Senate dropout, Ann Arbor's anti-crime sign removal, and FBI raids on fraudulent Somali facilities in Minneapolis, plus cultural nods like tributes to David Allan Coe. Prior resolved markets for similar 8-day windows, such as April 17-24, hovered around 100-120 posts, but traders now price a slightly tempered pace heading into May 1, with no major catalysts like hearings or campaigns altering volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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