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Breaking predictions & odds

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GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

1%

$14M Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

29

Ends in about 1 month

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

20%

$45.8K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

120

Ends in about 2 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

74%

Not revealed in 2026

$12.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

22%

$50.7K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

57%

OpenAI / ChatGPT

$24.4K Vol.

$379 Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $3

$632K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

19%

May 31

$111K Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

10

Reading FC vs. Blackpool FC

Reading FC vs. Blackpool FC

42%

Reading FC

$0 Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

39%

May 31

$10M Vol.

$376K today

$340K Liq.

267

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

S&P 500

$39.9K Vol.

$162K Liq.

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

52%

Prosecute / Prosecution

$3.0K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

49%

BNY

$19.6K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

52%

↓ $0.40

$1.4K Vol.

$388 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

79%

↓ 500

$107K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

30%

May 31

$29.4K Vol.

$96 Liq.

5

Ends in 30 days

Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?

Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?

24%

20°C

$1.9K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$595 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Breaking.

Polymarket currently hosts 189 active markets for Breaking that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GTA VI released before June 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $27.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “GTA VI released before June 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Breaking predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.