Trader consensus heavily favors Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent pace of roughly 9 posts per day amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. As of early April 30, he has logged 56 posts, projecting a total of 65-75 barring anomalies, aligning with prior weekly markets resolving in similar ranges during heightened military activity. Recent catalysts include updates on Russia's overnight launch of over 200 drones targeting Dnipro, Odesa, and other cities, causing casualties and blackouts; diplomatic response to Moscow's short-term ceasefire proposal ahead of May 9 Victory Day via U.S. channels; and addresses for Border Guard Day plus child repatriation progress. Scenarios challenging this include a posting surge from escalation or talks, or uncharacteristic silence if de-escalation materializes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
60-79 92%
80-99 7%
40-59 1.0%
140-159 <1%
$21,123 Vol.
$21,123 Vol.
40-59
1%
60-79
92%
80-99
7%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
60-79 92%
80-99 7%
40-59 1.0%
140-159 <1%
$21,123 Vol.
$21,123 Vol.
40-59
1%
60-79
92%
80-99
7%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent pace of roughly 9 posts per day amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. As of early April 30, he has logged 56 posts, projecting a total of 65-75 barring anomalies, aligning with prior weekly markets resolving in similar ranges during heightened military activity. Recent catalysts include updates on Russia's overnight launch of over 200 drones targeting Dnipro, Odesa, and other cities, causing casualties and blackouts; diplomatic response to Moscow's short-term ceasefire proposal ahead of May 9 Victory Day via U.S. channels; and addresses for Border Guard Day plus child repatriation progress. Scenarios challenging this include a posting surge from escalation or talks, or uncharacteristic silence if de-escalation materializes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions