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icon for NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

20-39 95%

40-59 4.9%

60-79 1.9%

80-99 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 95%

40-59 4.9%

60-79 1.9%

80-99 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39

$2,205 Vol.

95%

40-59

$415 Vol.

5%

60-79

$97 Vol.

2%

80-99

$108 Vol.

1%

100-119

$266 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$2,045 Vol.

1%

140-159

$1,143 Vol.

1%

160-179

$606 Vol.

1%

180-199

$456 Vol.

1%

200+

$1,269 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-39 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET through May 1, driven by his consistent cadence of 3-5 daily updates addressing public safety, housing policy, and community initiatives, as seen in recent responses to a Queens explosion injuring NYPD and FDNY personnel, Denim Day awareness at Family Justice Centers, and calls for Rent Guidelines Board participation. With six-plus days elapsed by April 30, cumulative posts already track toward this range, mirroring resolutions in prior weekly markets like April 17-24. This commanding position reflects stable behavioral patterns since his January inauguration. Unrealistic shifts to higher bins would require a May 1 crisis, major legislative announcement, or announcement spree exceeding historical norms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,769
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-39 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET through May 1, driven by his consistent cadence of 3-5 daily updates addressing public safety, housing policy, and community initiatives, as seen in recent responses to a Queens explosion injuring NYPD and FDNY personnel, Denim Day awareness at Family Justice Centers, and calls for Rent Guidelines Board participation. With six-plus days elapsed by April 30, cumulative posts already track toward this range, mirroring resolutions in prior weekly markets like April 17-24. This commanding position reflects stable behavioral patterns since his January inauguration. Unrealistic shifts to higher bins would require a May 1 crisis, major legislative announcement, or announcement spree exceeding historical norms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,769
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 95%, followed by "40-59" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" is "20-39" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.