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Survivor 50 Winner

icon for Survivor 50 Winner

Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 87%

Cirie Fields 4.0%

Joe Hunter 3.3%

Jonathan Young 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,373,295 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 87%

Cirie Fields 4.0%

Joe Hunter 3.3%

Jonathan Young 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,373,295 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$213,777 Vol.

87%

Cirie Fields

$50,358 Vol.

4%

Joe Hunter

$90,736 Vol.

3%

Jonathan Young

$70,239 Vol.

3%

Rizo Velovic

$95,837 Vol.

2%

Ozzy Lusth

$72,839 Vol.

2%

Rick Devens

$51,580 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$45,370 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$47,234 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$57,226 Vol.

<1%

Christian Hubicki

$73,696 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$36,357 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$39,215 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$59,026 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$26,883 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$31,314 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$45,365 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$33,103 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$36,024 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$28,096 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$37,649 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$80,224 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$10,057 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$41,424 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco commands an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability as Survivor 50's frontrunner, reflecting trader consensus on her under-the-radar strategic mastery amid late-game chaos from double eliminations in Episode 8 and a historic triple boot via the Blood Moon twist. Recent episodes highlight her correct vote navigation, idol flushes, and alliance pivots—such as bonding with Joe Hunter while dodging Ozzy Lusth's target—positioning her safely past the merge with jury management intact, even after a quieter Episode 9. Cirie Fields (5.1%) and Joe Hunter (4.0%) trail as social-physical threats, but eliminations like Chrissy Hofbeck have cleared paths for Aubry's quiet dominance. With the May 20 finale looming, immunity runs and final Tribal rhetoric remain key swing factors in this all-returnees showdown.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,373,295
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco commands an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability as Survivor 50's frontrunner, reflecting trader consensus on her under-the-radar strategic mastery amid late-game chaos from double eliminations in Episode 8 and a historic triple boot via the Blood Moon twist. Recent episodes highlight her correct vote navigation, idol flushes, and alliance pivots—such as bonding with Joe Hunter while dodging Ozzy Lusth's target—positioning her safely past the merge with jury management intact, even after a quieter Episode 9. Cirie Fields (5.1%) and Joe Hunter (4.0%) trail as social-physical threats, but eliminations like Chrissy Hofbeck have cleared paths for Aubry's quiet dominance. With the May 20 finale looming, immunity runs and final Tribal rhetoric remain key swing factors in this all-returnees showdown.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,373,295
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 87%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.