Skip to main content
icon for Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Helena Foulkes 71%

Dan McKee 27%

Gregory Stevens 2.8%

Joe Shekarchi 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Helena Foulkes 71%

Dan McKee 27%

Gregory Stevens 2.8%

Joe Shekarchi 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Helena Foulkes

$2,741 Vol.

71%

Dan McKee

$1,372 Vol.

27%

Gregory Stevens

$703 Vol.

3%

Joe Shekarchi

$982 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent University of New Hampshire polling released last week shows Helena Foulkes leading the Rhode Island Democratic gubernatorial primary at 45% among likely voters, with incumbent Gov. Dan McKee trailing at 11% and Gregory Stevens at 3%, reflecting trader consensus pricing Foulkes as a strong frontrunner at over two-to-one odds against McKee. McKee's approval has plummeted to record lows around 24%, driven by voter concerns over infrastructure and housing, while Foulkes maintains a fundraising edge with $1.5 million cash-on-hand after raising over $1 million in Q1. House Speaker Joe Shekarchi's February withdrawal has solidified the rematch dynamic from their narrow 2022 primary. Both frontrunners committed to three debates ahead of early voting, with the September 9 primary still four months away and undecideds at 40% offering room for shifts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,798
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent University of New Hampshire polling released last week shows Helena Foulkes leading the Rhode Island Democratic gubernatorial primary at 45% among likely voters, with incumbent Gov. Dan McKee trailing at 11% and Gregory Stevens at 3%, reflecting trader consensus pricing Foulkes as a strong frontrunner at over two-to-one odds against McKee. McKee's approval has plummeted to record lows around 24%, driven by voter concerns over infrastructure and housing, while Foulkes maintains a fundraising edge with $1.5 million cash-on-hand after raising over $1 million in Q1. House Speaker Joe Shekarchi's February withdrawal has solidified the rematch dynamic from their narrow 2022 primary. Both frontrunners committed to three debates ahead of early voting, with the September 9 primary still four months away and undecideds at 40% offering room for shifts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,798
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

33%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

93%
icon for Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?

Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?

85%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Helena Foulkes" at 71%, followed by "Dan McKee" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Helena Foulkes" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan McKee" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.