Rhode Island's longstanding Democratic trifecta and absence of a Republican governor since 1991 underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, reinforced by forecasters' "Solid Democratic" ratings amid the party's supermajority legislature. Recent polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey (April 16-20) showing Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee 45%-11% in the September 9 Democratic primary and Opinion Diagnostics hypotheticals (April 13-16) with Democrats ahead 28-33% over Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block, affirm double-digit general election leads despite McKee's low 18% approval tied to infrastructure woes like the Washington Bridge crisis. Primary outcomes, potential GOP consolidation, nominee scandals, or national midterm dynamics could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemocrat 93%
Republican 4.4%
Independent 2.7%
$50,013 Vol.
$50,013 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
4%
Independent
3%
Democrat 93%
Republican 4.4%
Independent 2.7%
$50,013 Vol.
$50,013 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$43,500 Vol.
93%
Republican
$6,432 Vol.
4%
Independent
$80 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's longstanding Democratic trifecta and absence of a Republican governor since 1991 underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, reinforced by forecasters' "Solid Democratic" ratings amid the party's supermajority legislature. Recent polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey (April 16-20) showing Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee 45%-11% in the September 9 Democratic primary and Opinion Diagnostics hypotheticals (April 13-16) with Democrats ahead 28-33% over Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block, affirm double-digit general election leads despite McKee's low 18% approval tied to infrastructure woes like the Washington Bridge crisis. Primary outcomes, potential GOP consolidation, nominee scandals, or national midterm dynamics could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$50,013End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's longstanding Democratic trifecta and absence of a Republican governor since 1991 underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, reinforced by forecasters' "Solid Democratic" ratings amid the party's supermajority legislature. Recent polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey (April 16-20) showing Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee 45%-11% in the September 9 Democratic primary and Opinion Diagnostics hypotheticals (April 13-16) with Democrats ahead 28-33% over Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block, affirm double-digit general election leads despite McKee's low 18% approval tied to infrastructure woes like the Washington Bridge crisis. Primary outcomes, potential GOP consolidation, nominee scandals, or national midterm dynamics could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$50,013End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's longstanding Democratic trifecta and absence of a Republican governor since 1991 underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, reinforced by forecasters' "Solid Democratic" ratings amid the party's supermajority legislature. Recent polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey (April 16-20) showing Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee 45%-11% in the September 9 Democratic primary and Opinion Diagnostics hypotheticals (April 13-16) with Democrats ahead 28-33% over Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block, affirm double-digit general election leads despite McKee's low 18% approval tied to infrastructure woes like the Washington Bridge crisis. Primary outcomes, potential GOP consolidation, nominee scandals, or national midterm dynamics could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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