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Politics·Primaries

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

Jim Pillen 95.6%

John Walz <1%

Gary L. Rogge <1%

Sheila Korth-Focken <1%

Polymarket

$129,239 Vol.

Jim Pillen 95.6%

John Walz <1%

Gary L. Rogge <1%

Sheila Korth-Focken <1%

Polymarket

$129,239 Vol.

Jim Pillen

$36,959 Vol.

96%

John Walz

$7,069 Vol.

1%

Gary L. Rogge

$5,079 Vol.

1%

Sheila Korth-Focken

$3,987 Vol.

<1%

Jacy Todd

$11,901 Vol.

<1%

Charles Herbster

$56,922 Vol.

<1%

Sal Holguin

$7,322 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 95.7% implied probability in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his overwhelming incumbency advantage and fragmented field of minor challengers ahead of the May 12, 2026, vote. Pillen officially filed for re-election in January 2026 following his 2022 primary win over Charles Herbster, with no high-profile rivals emerging since—opponents like Sal Holguin, Sheila Korth-Focken, Gary L. Rogge, Jacy Todd, and John Walz remain longshots lacking resources or endorsements. Absent recent polling on the primary, trader consensus underscores Nebraska GOP loyalty to sitting executives, where historical base rates favor incumbents. Late-breaking scandal, major endorsement shift, or voter turnout surprise among conservatives could narrow odds, though barriers remain high with 11 days left.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$129,239
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 95.7% implied probability in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his overwhelming incumbency advantage and fragmented field of minor challengers ahead of the May 12, 2026, vote. Pillen officially filed for re-election in January 2026 following his 2022 primary win over Charles Herbster, with no high-profile rivals emerging since—opponents like Sal Holguin, Sheila Korth-Focken, Gary L. Rogge, Jacy Todd, and John Walz remain longshots lacking resources or endorsements. Absent recent polling on the primary, trader consensus underscores Nebraska GOP loyalty to sitting executives, where historical base rates favor incumbents. Late-breaking scandal, major endorsement shift, or voter turnout surprise among conservatives could narrow odds, though barriers remain high with 11 days left.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$129,239
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jim Pillen" at 96%, followed by "John Walz" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $129.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Jim Pillen" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Walz" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.