Skip to main content
icon for Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms 64%

Mike Thurmond 21.6%

Jason Esteves 16%

Geoff Duncan 1.8%

Polymarket

$236,438 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms 64%

Mike Thurmond 21.6%

Jason Esteves 16%

Geoff Duncan 1.8%

Polymarket

$236,438 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$47,056 Vol.

64%

Mike Thurmond

$31,221 Vol.

22%

Jason Esteves

$28,773 Vol.

16%

Geoff Duncan

$42,182 Vol.

2%

Derrick Jackson

$12,834 Vol.

<1%

Ruwa Romman

$60,269 Vol.

<1%

Olujimi Brown

$14,103 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus in the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary at 63.5% implied probability, bolstered by her top showing in recent polls like the April ERNA/Concord survey (42%) and strong name recognition from managing the state's largest city amid urban growth challenges. Early voting began April 27 ahead of the May 19 primary, with recent Atlanta Press Club debates highlighting contrasts on issues like Medicaid expansion and cost of living, where Bottoms and former DeKalb CEO Mike Thurmond (21.3%) consolidated metro Atlanta support while state Sen. Jason Esteves (16%) gained traction through endorsements and debate performances despite lower polling. Former Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan's party switch has yielded minimal momentum at 1.4%, as traders weigh urban turnout and undecided voters in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$236,438
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus in the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary at 63.5% implied probability, bolstered by her top showing in recent polls like the April ERNA/Concord survey (42%) and strong name recognition from managing the state's largest city amid urban growth challenges. Early voting began April 27 ahead of the May 19 primary, with recent Atlanta Press Club debates highlighting contrasts on issues like Medicaid expansion and cost of living, where Bottoms and former DeKalb CEO Mike Thurmond (21.3%) consolidated metro Atlanta support while state Sen. Jason Esteves (16%) gained traction through endorsements and debate performances despite lower polling. Former Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan's party switch has yielded minimal momentum at 1.4%, as traders weigh urban turnout and undecided voters in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$236,438
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

61%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

63%
icon for Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 64%, followed by "Mike Thurmond" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $236.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Thurmond" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.